Makhachev v Moicano: UFC 311 preview & predictions | January 18

UFC 311 is set to light up the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California, this Saturday.

The highly anticipated main event took an unexpected turn after Arman Tsarukyan withdrew due to a back injury, leaving Renato Moicano to step in with just one day’s notice. Despite the late change, the lightweight title remains on the line in this must-watch showdown.

Current odds from top top online casinos favor reigning champion Islam Makhachev heavily, priced at -1111.11, while underdog Moicano offers a tempting +675 for the upset victory.

Read on for a detailed fight preview and our expert betting picks.

Makhachev v Moicano UFC 311 main event preview

Islam Makhachev vs Renato Moicano

Islam Makhachev (26-1-0) has been a dominant force in the UFC lightweight division since 2022, with an impressive track record including a title-winning submission over Charles Oliveira and defenses against top contenders like Alexander Volkanovski and Dustin Poirier.

Known for his exceptional wrestling and grappling skills, Makhachev follows in the footsteps of his mentor, Khabib Nurmagomedov, combining striking, takedowns, and relentless pressure to overwhelm opponents.

Renato Moicano (20-5-1) enters as a skilled Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt with 10 submission wins and a versatile striking game honed through Muay Thai training.

Despite the short notice, his striking diversity and reach advantage could trouble the champion, but the biggest question will be how his cardio holds up against Makhachev’s relentless pace.

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Makhachev v Moicano UFC 311 predictions

Moicano’s skill set is undeniable, but the short preparation time and Makhachev’s dominance make this a daunting challenge, however the +675 price with the leading sportsbooks is probably a little high. Look for Moicano to attempt an aggressive start, utilizing his reach and striking, but Makhachev’s wrestling and ground control will likely dictate the fight.

Expect Makhachev to secure takedowns and control the pace, gradually wearing down his opponent. By the third or fourth round, the champion is poised to secure a submission or TKO victory, extending his reign atop the lightweight division.

Sports betting picks