French Open 2025 betting picks & predictions | Men’s final preview

It’s the men’s 2025 French Open final the tennis world has been waiting for: Carlos Alcaraz v Jannik Sinner. Defending champion v world No.1. The two players widely expected to dominate tennis for the next decade, going toe-to-toe on the biggest stage.

We dive deep into Sunday’s clash in Paris, breaking down the best bets to make on the 2025 Roland-Garros final including a +400 punt on Sinner.

Best bet

Both Sinner and Alcaraz come into this championship match with fresh legs. Alcaraz earned a retirement in his semi-final against Lorenzo Musetti, enduring two tough sets before the Italian melted away and withdrew before the two-and-a-half-hour mark. Sinner, meanwhile, got past Novak Djokovic in straight sets, also spending less than three hours on court.

Given their last two Grand Slam meetings have gone the distance and all but two of their 11 meetings have featured one or more tiebreakers, taking the over market here the smart bet. While the top tennis betting sites have set it at a high 38.5 games, this will be crossed even if the match only goes four sets, as we expect it will.

Value bet

Alcaraz comes into this clash as the favorite with the top online sportsbooks and for good reason. He is defending champion, has lost on clay just once this season, and has won his last four matches against Sinner, including just a few weeks ago in Rome.

However, as evidenced by the trail of destruction he has left the last 12 days in Paris, Sinner is playing lights-out tennis. It is time he gets one back here in the head-to-head and this feels like the perfect opportunity. Alcaraz’s level, while high, has been inconsistent, with sets dropped in four of his six matches this tournament.

As touched on above, the Spaniard’s high ceiling will win him a set, but it will be Sinner’s relentless consistency that earns him the title on Sunday.

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