2025 IndyCar XPEL Grand Prix at Road America preview & best bets

The 2025 IndyCar Series hits the halfway mark this Sunday, June 22, with the XPEL Grand Prix at Road America — one of the calendar’s most iconic and punishing road courses. This 4.048-mile, 14-turn beast near Elkhart Lake will test drivers with blind corners, brutal braking zones, and a new variable: IndyCar’s hybrid power unit. The race is set to start at 1:30pm ET, it’s another huge opportunity for the series to shine.

Championship leader Alex Palou enters with five wins and as the favorite with the top online sportsbooks but faces growing pressure. Kyle Kirkwood has won the last two races and three overall, while Pato O’Ward has climbed into second in the standings after a strong oval showing at WWTR.

Team Penske is reeling after a disastrous Gateway weekend, but Road America was the site of a 1-2-3 sweep for them in 2024. Will Power, Josef Newgarden and Scott McLaughlin all return to a track they dominated last year — but remain winless in 2025.

With title contenders tightening and reputations on the line, Road America sets the stage for a pivotal showdown in the 2025 IndyCar championship fight. Check out our top betting predictions below.

XPEL Grand Prix at Road America betting odds

• Shane van Gisbergen – +300
• Christopher Bell – +700
• William Byron – +800
• Tyler Reddick – +900
• Kyle Larson – +900
• Chase Elliott – +1400
• Kyle Busch – +1500
• AJ Allmendinger – +1500
• Chris Buescher – +1800
• Daniel Suarez – +2000
• Carson Hocevar – +2500
• Ross Chastain – +2500
• Michael McDowell – +3000
• Ty Gibbs – +3300
• Alex Bowman – +3300
• Ryan Blaney – +4000
• Denny Hamlin – +4000
• Chase Briscoe – +4000
• Austin Cindric – +4000
• Joey Logano – +5000
• Todd Gilliland – +6600
• Justin Haley – +8000
• Erik Jones – +8000
• Cole Custer – +8000
• Josh Berry – +8000
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr – +8000
• Brad Keselowski – +8000
• Noah Gragson – +8000
• Bubba Wallace – +8000
• Ryan Preece – +8000
• Zane Smith – +8000
• Katherine Legge – +10000
• Cody Ware – +10000
• Ty Dillon – +10000
• John H. Nemechek – +10000
• Austin Dillon – +10000
• Riley Herbst – +10000

More odds available at Stake.com

Road America IndyCar betting predictions

Kyle Kirkwood to win

Kirkwood is on a tear with back-to-back wins, including his first oval victory. While Road America has never been Andretti’s strongest track, Kirkwood’s momentum, confidence, and ability to adapt make him the top value play at +500 odds with 888starz, to take down Palou on neutral ground. He’s the only driver to beat Palou this season and is due for a road course breakthrough.

Pato O’Ward top-three finish

Pato O’Ward has podium finishes in two of his last three starts at Road America and was strong again last weekend on the oval. The Arrow McLaren Chevrolet is well-suited to fast-flowing tracks, and O’Ward has the perfect blend of aggression and control to manage the race pace. He’s quietly putting together a title campaign and Road America could be the spark. Pato O’Ward at +210 with Stake.com is a great bet.

Marcus Armstrong top-six finish

Marcus Armstrong has proven himself as one of IndyCar’s most consistent performers on road courses, and he continues to shine in his first full season. Backed by the strength of Chip Ganassi Racing, Armstrong has finished just outside the top five multiple times this season and has the pace to go one better here. At +210 odds with Stake.com, he’s a live shot for a top-six result at a track that rewards clean, precise driving.