Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs betting odds and tips

12pm CT Sunday, November 3 at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO

Minnesota Vikings
Moneyline odds: -165 at Bovada
Betting line: -3 at -111.11
Record (ATS): 6-2 (5-3)

Kansas City Chiefs
Moneyline odds: +135 at Bovada
Betting line: +3 at -111.11
Record (ATS): 5-3 (4-4)

The red-hot Minnesota Vikings hit the road this Sunday as a road favorites with NFL betting sites against the Kansas City Chiefs, who have lost three of their last four games.

The Chiefs lost to the Green Bay Packers 31-24 last time out with Patrick Mahomes on the sidelines. He did practice last week just several days after dislocating his kneecap and while there is an outside chance he will play in this game, Matt Moore will likely get another start.

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The Vikings have won four games in a row and are coming off a 19-9 Thursday night win over the Washington Redskins. They had scored 80 points in their previous two games but used their defense to beat the Redskins.

The three losses in the Chiefs’ last four games have all been at home, where they are only 1-3 on the season. While the Vikings have beaten the Eagles and Lions in their four-game win streak, none of those wins came against a team with a winning record.

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Minnesota had trouble getting into the end zone in their 19-9 win over the Redskins in their last game, but they outgained them 434 yards to 216. Kirk Cousins did not have a touchdown or interception but was a more than solid 23/26 for 285 yards. In the Vikes’ four-win streak he has 10 touchdowns and only one interception.

Stefon Diggs led Minnesota with 143 receiving yards in the Redskins game and has at least 143 receiving yards in his last three games. Dalvin Cook leads the NFL in rushing yards, rushed for 98 yards in the Washington game, and on the season is averaging 5.3 yards per carry. He may be leaned on facing a Kansas City run defense that only ranks 30th in the league.

The KC pass defense ranks a respectable 11th, but they allowed Aaron Rodgers to pass for 305 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions in their last game. However, they did have five sacks in the game and they need to put similar pressure on Cousins in this non-conference affair.

The Chiefs had 337 total yards and only rushed for 88 yards in the loss to Green Bay. Moore played pretty well in his first start with little reps with the first team in practice and passed for 267 yards with two touchdowns and was not picked off. The two big guns of WR Tyreek Hill and TE Travis Kelse combined for 139 receiving yards.

LeSean McCoy rushed for 40 yards to lead the Chiefs in the Packers loss, averaging 4.4 yards per carry. He is averaging 5.2 yards per carry and with Mahomes out KC may lean on the run more, but it is key they are not down early so they can pound the rock on the ground.

Minnesota have a solid and balanced defense that ranks eighth in the league against the pass and seventh against the run.

Minnesota Vikings betting trends

• Vikings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a winning record
• Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss
• Vikings have an Under record of 6-1 in their last seven road games

Kansas City Chiefs betting trends

• Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games
• Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games
• Chiefs have an Over record of 4-1 in their last five games

Vikings vs Chiefs betting predictions

Minnesota Vikings -3.5 at -111.11 with Bovada

Tough call in this one, as it has not yet been determined if Mahomes will play. It seems unlikely, which will suit the Vikings just fine. Cook will have a big game on the ground facing a suspect KC run defense. It could be a close one, but the Chiefs will fall short without their star QB and the Vikings will cover the spread as they extend their streak to five wins.