On Sunday, All Elite Wrestling (AEW) will broadcast its best pay-per-view offering in the company’s history. The AEW Revolution 2022 card is loaded to say the least, and it features many faces and names not even on the AEW roster for its last pay-per-view event, Full Gear, on November 12, 2021 in Minneapolis.
BettingPlanet.com was there and can confirm the AEW pay-per-view events keep getting better and better. Here’s a betting preview of every AEW Revolution match on the card and how I’d expect the matches to end. All lines provided by the world’s best betting sites.
Tornado Tag Match: Sammy Guevara/Sting/Darby Allen v. Andrade El Idolo/Isaiah Kassidy/Matt Hardy
The addition of Andrade El Idolo to the Hardy Family Office certainly makes Matt Hardy and his boys (and The Bunny) more relevant, but they’re still a sideshow trying to slide into the spotlight. Isaiah Kassidy joins Andrade and Matt Hardy in the ring to take on the TNT Champion, Sammy Guevara, Sting, and Darby Allen, which is about as irrelevant as the A.H.F.O. as a whole.
While we wouldn’t be surprised by an Andrade pinfall to set up a TNT title match between El Idolo and The Spanish God, the +250 payout isn’t enough for me to bet the farm on the Andrade/Hardy Family Office at the time of this writing. Keep your eyes on this line, however. The bigger it gets, the more willing we’d be to bet on the A.H.F.O. getting the victory.
Singles Match: Hook v. QT Marshall
Just send Hook to the pay window to collect the winner’s share. He won’t have his hand raised, but he’s yet to have his hand raised despite being undefeated in AEW. He is a -1000 favorite for a multitude of reasons, but the only reason that matters is: he’s a superstar. The people love Hook, and judging from the early money, the people will not tolerate Hook losing to QT Marshall.
Even given the experience advantage QT Marshall has and the help he’ll undoubtedly have around the ring from his Nightmare Factory minions, we still like Hook to win without too much trouble. His hair will look about the same after the match as it did before the bell rang.
Singles Match: Kris Statlander v. Leyla Hirsch
We’re surprised Kris Statlander isn’t a bigger favorite in this match. She’s beaten Leyla Hirsch before and, in my opinion, has the ability to beat anyone in the AEW women’s division (and some of the men), including current champion Dr. Britt Baker, D.M.D. Leyla is an excellent wrestler, and will have to keep the match on the mat to have a chance. We just don’t see Legit Leyla overcoming the strength of the alien from the Andromeda galaxy. My money’s on Kris at -169.49.
Kris Statlander To Win
Singles Match: Eddie Kingston v. Chris Jericho
We’re behind Eddie Kingston in this match, and Chris Jericho is known to be a kingmaker, which is why we think Kingston is a -400 favorite. We’re not convinced this feud will be confined to a single pay-per-view match, either, and a Kingston win better lends itself to a trilogy of matches between Kingston and Jericho.
This match has my money scared, as it’s a tossup. Only bet lightly on this one. The Mad King or the kingmaker have an equal shot at winning this.
Singles Match: Bryan Danielson v. Jon Moxley
This very well could be the best match of the entire pay-per-view. Jon Moxley is ‘off the sauce” and in excellent shape, and Bryan Danielson has already taken the AEW World Champion, Hangman Adam Page, to the 60-minute time limit.
We fully expect Danielson to eventually become world champion, but is that before or after Moxley gets revenge for how the championship belt was stolen from him by Kenny Omega? This match will answer that question, and with the early money virtually being split evenly between these two combatants, we recommend keeping our money out of this one. Just enjoy what will be an excellent match.
TBS Championship Match: Jade Cargill v. Tay Conti
Jade Cargill has never lost in her short AEW career. Since debuting alongside Shaquille O’Neal, Jade has won 27 consecutive matches. We liked Tay Conti in this match even before we saw her as a +600 underdog. BettingPlanet.com is not convinced Jade is a good enough technical wrestler to continue headlining AEW Dynamite or Rampage shows as TBS Champion.
Tay Conti, on the other hand, might be one of the best martial artists on the AEW roster, male or female. She’s also dating TNT Champion Sammy Guevara, and their willingness to advertise their love affair on Instagram makes us believe they’re willing to do the same on the Turner Broadcasting family of channels. Take Tay to the bank in this one.
Tay Conti To Win
Face of the Revolution Ladder Match: Wardlow v. Keith Lee v. Ricky Starks v. Orange Cassidy v. Powerhouse Hobbs v. Christian Cage
We love betting on Orange Cassidy in these events because he has spent the entirety of one of these elimination matches literally laying around and has won. Orange won a shot at the Dynamite Diamond Ring by simply waiting on the outside for wrestlers to be eliminated. And at +800, a bet on Orange Cassidy to win the Face of the Revolution Ladder Match is potentially paying very well.
The thing about ladder matches is you eventually have to climb a ladder. Speed and agility has the advantage in that regard, and there is a heavy roster of wrestlers in this ladder match. Outside of Orange Cassidy – Ricky Starks or Christian Cage could win, but we wouldn’t be surprised if Keith Lee slowly climbs a ladder after knocking everyone unconscious with it. He is beloved by the fans and would be a good Face of the Revolution. Also, Wardlow has been growing in popularity, and a win in this match could set up a storyline in which Wardlow finally turns on MJF.
Dog Collar Match: CM Punk v. MJF
AEW’s most famous feud to date culminates, as it should, in a dog collar match between Maxwell Jacob Freidman and his childhood idol, CM Punk. This is the rubber match between these two combatants, and the early money has Punk slightly favored to win the all-important third fight between the two. Not sure that CM Punk is the better wrestler here which combined with the the slim money line, makes this an unattractive betting proposition.
When it comes to experience, CM Punk has that in spades. MJF might have the help of The Pinnacle in his corner, but not so sure he’ll have the help of Wardlow in this one. We’ve all been waiting for Wardlow to turn on MJF, and if Wardlow is emboldened by a good showing in the Face of the Revolution ladder match, Revolution could be where we see Wardlow revolt against MJF.
If the money continues to come in for Punk place a small wager on the despicable MJF to win. The trajectory of MJF’s career has certainly taken a hit with the arrival of CM Punk and Bryan Danielson to AEW. MJF was and remains a title contender, but with a loss, his chances at gold will further be limited. Punk, however, is too popular to be adversely affected by a loss, which is why we’re leaning toward MJF in this one.
AEW World Tag Team Championship Match: Jurassic Express v. The Young Bucks v. reDRagon
The smart money is rightly on Jungle Boy and Luchasaurus retaining the AEW World Tag Team titles at -114.94. Don’t be surprised if The Young Bucks come out of this one raising the championship belts, with the rift between them and reDRagon being the difference in this match.
AEW World Championship Match: Hangman Adam Page v. Adam Cole
The battle to determine the best Adam will result in Hangman Adam Page retaining the title. Adam Cole is too much of a sideshow clown-like character to be world champion right now, and, as indicated by the early money, the people are fully behind the champion. Adam Page is a -588.24 favorite and we’re betting on him to remain AEW World Champion, especially given what we know about the match featuring Adam Cole’s girlfriend Dr. Britt Baker, D.M.D.
Adam Page To Win
AEW Women’s World Championship Match: Dr. Britt Baker, D.M.D. v. Thunder Rosa
The most surprising betting line for AEW Revolution 2022 is that the challenger, Thunder Rosa, is the betting favorite by a considerable margin over the champion, Dr. Britt Baker, D.M.D. for the AEW Women’s World Championship. Thunder has a win over Baker already, in an unsanctioned, lights out match that was deemed “Match of the Year” by Pro Wrestling Illustrated.
The early money indicates that people have soured on Britt Baker as women’s champion. Her reign has mostly featured victories over wrestlers with no real shot at victory or victories via cheating. And while it’s difficult to follow the people’s champion, Hikaru Shida, Baker has been living off her performance in that loss to Thunder Rosa since that night her face became a bestselling t-shirt. This is why we like Rosa to win, but not enough to place a bet paying -344.83
If this line gets smaller closer to the ring of the bell, maybe consider betting on Thunder to beat Britt. But right now, happy watching what Thunder Rosa and Britt Baker give us as a sequel to maybe the best match we’ve seen.
AEW Revolution 2022 is available for purchase from Fite.TV for non-U.S. viewers and B/R Live for U.S. viewers. The price is $49.99, and the event begins at 7 p.m. Central Standard Time (U.S.).
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