All Elite Wrestling will celebrate its third anniversary in Las Vegas on Sunday with its best pay-per-view yet: Double or Nothing 2022. The Double or Nothing card features many faces and names who have yet to wrestle for AEW. Here are the betting lines on AEW Double or Nothing matches and how I expect the matches to end. All lines provided by Bovada.
The Buy-in: Hook/Danhausen v. Tony Nese/Smart Mark Sterling
Just send Hookhausen to the pay window to collect the winners’ share. It might be the first time we see Hook have his hand raised. He’s yet to have his hand raised despite being undefeated in AEW, but perhaps Hook will resist walking out of the ring immediately after the match with Danhausen as his tag team partner. They are -2000 favorites for a multitude of reasons, but the only reason that matters is: they are superstars. The people love Hookhausen, and judging from the early money, the people will not tolerate Hookhausen losing to “The Premier Athlete” and his attorney, who has never wrestled.
Even given the experience advantage Nese has over both Hook and Danhausen (he was WWE Cruiserweight Champion), and the help he’ll undoubtedly get from Smart Mark Sterling around the ring, I still expect Hook and Danhausen to win without much trouble.
Trios Match: House of Black v. Death Triangle
House of Black is a -200 favorite to defeat the darker Death Triangle, featuring the dark alter ego of Penta El Zero Miedo, Penta Oscuro. My heart and money is behind the Triangle, which has struggled to remain whole due to a gruesome injury sustained by Rey Fenix in the Lucha Brothers’ AEW Tag Team Championship loss to Jurassic Express. Before that, Pac was hurt, so it’s good to see the Death Triangle have all three sides healthy and performing in a pay-per-view again. Expect the House of Black to fall on Sunday unless Julia Hart finally makes the full turn to join the House and gets involved somehow.
Tag Team Match: The Young Bucks v. The Hardys
The match I’m most excited to see is between two pairs of brothers with legendary tag team legacies. The Young Bucks are favored at -300, but my money is on Jeff and Matt Hardy to upset the Bucks to the delight of a crowd hoping to snort nostalgia in Nevada. I’ll be a thrilled member of that crowd regardless of the outcome, as this match should be one of the most entertaining and acrobatic matches on the Double or Nothing card.
TBS Championship Match: Jade Cargill v. Anna Jay
Jade Cargill has never lost in her short AEW career. Since debuting alongside Shaquille O’Neal, Jade has won 32 consecutive matches. Expect her to make it 33 straight against Anna Jay, a +700 longshot to win the TBS title.
Jay was so close to locking in the Queen Slayer against Jade and getting a surprise victory on AEW Rampage on Jan. 21, but Jade knew how to handle it then and will again. Don’t be surprised if she requires a little help from The Baddies to beat Anna Jay this time, however.
Anarchy in the Arena: Jon Moxley/Bryan Danielson/Santana/Ortiz/Eddie Kingston v. The Jericho Appreciation Society
No one goes heel better than Jericho. In a matter of three AEW pay-per-view shows, he’s gone from hero to heel to wizard. All the fireballs in the world won’t stop Eddie Kingston’s crew from making The Jericho Appreciation Society (JAS) appreciate life a bit more than Jericho, though. The smart money is on the professional wrestlers to destroy the “sports entertainers” at -350.
JAS to win pays +225, and some might say JAS has the advantage in this one because it is the more cohesive unit, while their opponents are led by the Mad King at his maddest. That could be true. I wouldn’t be surprised if Jericho scores the pinfall in this one, but I think Tony Khan has plans for his fireball-throwing wizard that’ll force the Kingston feud to be concluded. Don’t expect Jericho/Kingston to become a pay-per-view trilogy. Take the favorites.
Singles Match: Wardlow v. MJF
We’ll finally get the payoff to the longest running storyline and most interesting feud in AEW. Warldow will finally get his hands on Maxwell Jacob Friedman with an opportunity to get out from under his contract with MJF.
Wardlow was the star of AEW’s last pay-per-view, winning the Face of the Revolution Ladder Match and then double-crossing MJF and giving CM Punk the Dynamite Diamond Ring that made the difference in one of the bloodiest dog collar matches we’ve been blessed to see.
The Warldow/MJF feud has since been the most interesting AEW storyline. For weeks, a handcuffed Wardlow has been escorted to the ring by a mob of security to no music. Fans have been chanting his name and getting all the powerbomb symphonies they desire, and they’ll certainly get Wardlow’s best performance yet on Sunday in Las Vegas.
Wardlow is the betting favorite at -700, likely because of the stipulation that if he loses, he never gets to wrestle in AEW again. There are ways around that, however, especially now that Tony Khan owns Ring of Honor Wrestling. I placed a small bet on MJF, because he’s better than you, and you know it. My heart will be with Wardlow despite wanting this feud to continue, though.
AEW World Tag Team Championship Match: Jungle Boy/Luchasaurus v. Powerhouse Hobbs/Ricky Starks v. Keith Lee/Swerve Strickland
The smart money is on Jungle Boy and Luchasaurus retaining the AEW World Tag Team titles, and that’s where my money will be placed at -110. But based on what we’ve seen on AEW Dynamite and Rampage in the build-up to this championship match, this will be a highly competitive bout. All six members of this match have given us great performances to promote this three-team championship bout. It should be fast and fun, with limitless entertainment value.
AEW Women’s World Championship Match: Thunder Rosa v. Serena Deeb
The AEW Women’s World Champion, Thunder Rosa, is the betting favorite at -1500 over the challenger, Serena Deeb, who is running at +600 odds despite holding a championship win over Rosa for the NWA Women’s World Championship. Thunder also has a win over Deeb, however, in Deeb’s AEW debut.
The early money indicates that Rosa is becoming the people’s champion Hikaru Shida was for the AEW women’s division throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, which is how Serena Deeb got to AEW in the first place. Deeb was part of WWE’s downsizing in response to the pandemic on April 15, 2020.
I like Rosa to defend the AEW Women’s World Championship, and to do so for a long time. This match will not go the way of the betting line, however. Deeb is barely an underdog in my mind, and is probably the better technical wrestler. But Rosa is the better promoter and is beloved by the fans. She’ll also have a strong contingent of Latinx fans behind her in Las Vegas.
AEW World Championship Match: Hangman Adam Page v. CM Punk
The fans have spoken, and if they get their way, the AEW World Championship reign of Hangman Adam Page will be a short one. CM Punk is favored to win the championship at -170 odds, and Hangman is a +130 underdog. This should surprise no one. CM Punk has been AEW’s biggest star since announcing his return to professional wrestling after an eight-year hiatus.
Some might say Hangman’s reign would be too short if it were to end on Sunday, and they might be right. Punk will certainly get another opportunity at the AEW World Championship if he were to lose, so a smart bet might be to take Hangman to win and hope Tony Khan makes this feud into a trilogy of matches. There hasn’t been much of a character arc for either wrestler as of yet, and it would be fun to see where this feud goes.
All Wresting Odds
AEW Double or Nothing 2022 is available for purchase from Fite.TV for non-U.S. viewers and B/R Live for U.S. viewers. The price is $49.99, and the event begins with “The Buy-in” at 7 p.m. Eastern Standard Time (U.S.). You can also view the pay-per-view at select movie theaters.
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