Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights form & tips – 2018 NCAA betting

Cincinnati vs. UCF – 8:00 PM EST, Saturday, November 17, at Spectrum Stadium Orlando, FL

Betting Line: UCF -7.5
Over/Under: 58.5 points at 888 Sportsbook

UCF is undefeated and they have to stay that way to keep their slim hopes of a BCS playoff berth alive.

There is no lack of great betting action in this AAC game that punters should jump on now to get the best odds.

Cincinnati has won three in a row since their lone loss of the season facing Temple and that loss was costly. They are tied with the Owls at 5-1 in AAC East Division play behind 6-0 UCF, so even if the Bearcats win this game they need Temple to lose to have any chance to play in the conference title game. While the Bearcats have a solid offense and a great run game the backbone of the team is their defense, which ranks seventh in the nation only giving up an average of 14.9 points per game.

UCF is undefeated, but playing in the smaller AAC they will likely get snubbed for a BCS berth even if they run the table. The Knights ended last season undefeated as well and did not get a BCS berth. UCF has not lost a game since the 2016 season. They are balanced and have a great run game that ranks fourth in the nation in rushing yards per game and their offense is the eighth highest scoring one in the country.

This season Cincinnati is 9-1 SU with an ATS record of 6-4 and an O/U record of 4-6 and UCF is 9-0 with an ATS record of 6-3 and an O/U record of 3-6.

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Last season at Cincinnati the Knights beat the Bearcats 51-23.

Cincinnati was at home in their last game and they beat USF 35-23. They scored 21 points in the 3rd quarter, outgained USF 432 yards to 313 yards, and they rushed for 238 yards. Desmond Ridder passed for 184 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions and he also rushed for 60 yards. Michael Warren II rushed for 151 yards with three touchdowns averaging 5.4 yards per carry and he has rushed for at least 106 yards in five games this season.

Look for Warren II to get a lot of touches in this game, as he will be facing the weakness of the UCF defense, which is their run defense that only ranks 105th in the nation.

In their last game UCF was at home and they stayed unbeaten in their 35-24 win over Navy. They racked up 497 yards and rushed for 297 yards and all of the 374 yards they gave up came on the ground, which is not good with Warren II coming to town.

McKenzie Milton passed for 200 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions and Dredrick Snelson led the Knights with 72 receiving yards and he caught both of the touchdown passes. Greg McCrae rushed for 101 yards, Adrian Killins Jr. rushed for 83 yards, and Milton chimed in for 62 rushing yards. McCrae leads UCF in rushing yards on the season and in the game before the win over Navy he rushed for 188 yards facing a solid Temple team.

The big match up in this big AAC game may be the great rushing offense of the Knights facing a Cincy run defense that ranks a legit 11th in the nation.

Cincinnati betting trends

• 7-15 ATS in their last 22 AAC games
• 1-6 ATS in their last seven games facing a team with a winning record
• Under record of 5-0 in their last five road games

Take advantage of these betting trends with the best online bookies

UCF Knights betting trends

• 4-1 ATS in their last five home games
• 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games
• 4-0 ATS in their last four games after an ATS loss
• Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games

Cincinnati vs. UCF betting prediction

While Cincinnati has a solid defense, the Knights will still run the ball on them. They will not be stopped in the ground or the air and UCF will light up the scoreboard.

Cincy will also put up quite a few points, but not nearly as many as the Knights.

Take UCF to win and cover at home in this game, staying perfect on the season and handing the Bearcats their second loss.

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