Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs Top Betting Tips | NFL
- By: Jaylon Holmes
- January 15, 2021
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Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City ChiefsLatest NFL Betting Ods & Match Info |
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NFL Betting odds | Moneyline: Browns +380 at Bovada | Chiefs -470 at Bovada Line: Chiefs -10.0 | O/U: 57.5 |
When | January 17, 2021 @ 02:05PM CT |
Where | Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO |
Watch Live | CBS (US), Sky Sports (UK), Foxtel, Kayo (AU), NFL Gamepass |
Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
After taking it to the Pittsburg Steelers in their AFC Wild Card matchup, the Cleveland Browns take their cinderella team to Super Bowl Favorite Kansas City Chiefs. Will they continue to shock the world? Or will Coach Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes come ready to play? Here is the betting preview for the Browns vs. Chiefs AFC Divisional matchup.
The Cleveland Browns (12-5-0) will travel to Kansas City to take on the Chiefs (14-2-0) in the first of two Sunday divisional matchups. The Browns are 7-10-0 ATS overall, 4-5 ATS on the road, 10-7-0 O/U overall, and 5-4 O/U on the road. The Chiefs are 6-9-1 ATS overall, 3-5-0 ATS at home, 8-8 O/U overall, and 4-4 O/U at home. These trends do not reveal too much in terms of a spread or total points pick. For as good as both of these team’s straight up records are, their ATS records show that they have had to work for a lot of their wins. Let’s dive deeper.
This is the first time that the Kansas City Chiefs will face the Cleveland Browns in the NFL playoffs to date, so there is no historical data to go off. According to Rotowire.com’s NFL Football Games Archive, When the Chiefs have played Cleveland at home, they are 6-1 Straight Up, 3-4 ATS, and 3-3-1 O/U. Once again, pretty close matchup when it comes to spread and total points predictions. An interesting stat is that in their last 7 games (throwing out week 17 because Kansas City rested starters), the Kansas City Chiefs are 0-6-1 ATS overall. The Browns are slightly better in terms of recent ATS, going 3-4 their last 7 games. There is a narrative that the Chiefs and Coach Reid do well after a BYE. Reality shows that since Andy Reid began coaching the Chiefs, including playoff BYES, the Chiefs are 6-5 ATS and 3-7-1 O/U after each BYE.
Specific injury news to consider is that on the Cleveland Browns Side, Myles Garret has been limited in practice throughout the week. He should be good to go, but his status is important to keep an eye on if you are leaning the Browns in this one. Denzel Ward, star cornerback for the Browns was recently taken off of the COVID-IR per Rotowire.com. This means he’ll be available for the divisional matchup. For the Chiefs, the two main concerns are in Rookie Running Back Clyde Edwards-Helaire and wide receiver Sammy Watkins. Watkins is yet to practice this week and after missing week 17 and then still not practicing it is unlikely he’ll play. For Edwards-Helaire, he practiced in limited fashion this past Wednesday, but did not practice on Thursday. This is a cause for concern and should be monitored through the weekend before bets are made.
Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Predictions
With all the above news and analysis, I will take the Chiefs to win, but the Browns to cover, with the total hitting the over.
Cleveland Browns +10
Over 57.5 Points
Prop Betting Predictions For Browns vs Chiefs
Kareem Hunt 3+ Receptions
At these odds, I love this pick. I expect a game similar to the Cleveland vs. Baltimore game in Week 14 due to an expected offensive battle and the total hitting the over. Down the stretch in that game, Hunt was used during crucial must-score minutes. He gathered 6 receptions on 7 targets in the contest. I think he will find a way to snag at least 3 receptions in this playoff game.
Travis Kelce 100+ Receiving Yards | Kansas City To Win
Kelce has been a madman at the Tight End Position this season, having 6 games over 100 yards this year and 2 with 98 yards and 90 yards, respectively. The Cleveland Browns are 28th out of 32 teams in receiving yards allowed to the Tight End this season, so I think Kelce will have a day in this matchup.
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