Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers betting picks – NFL Thursday

The Week 4 showcase of NFL’s Thursday Night Football will be an intriguing divisional battle between the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions, with both teams sitting 2-1. Here are our free NFL betting picks for September 28, 2023.

Lions @ Packers spread pick: Detroit -1.5

Through three weeks, these teams both look like playoff contenders. The Lions have clearly improved on their awful defense from last year, and we expect that to be the difference in this contest. Detroit have a top-five rushing defense according to yards given up, and the Packers primarily try to win by running the ball. The Lions’ strong unit should force Packers quarterback Jordan Love to throw the ball, and we just don’t think he’s good enough to win games with his arm yet. Take the Lions to cover the small spread and secure their third win of the season.

Sam Laporta total receiving yards: Over 42.5

Sam Laporta has carved out a very important role in this Lions offense. The rookie tight end has surpassed this number in each of his last two games, and last weekend he garnered 84 receiving yards and a touchdown. While the Packers have a solid defense, Laporta is an ascending player in this league and is fast earning the trust of quarterback Jared Goff. He should be active yet again on Thursday and easily surpass this number.

Lions @ Packers anytime TD pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown

Amon-Ra St. Brown is an elite receiver for the Lions, and he is Jared Goff’s favorite target. The 23-year-old only has one touchdown this season but has recorded at least 70 yards in each game and is consistently targeted around the goal line. He will face a tough matchup in this contest, but his odds are too good to pass up. Take St. Brown to score his second touchdown of the season while once again leading the way for this Lions’ passing attack.

Jordan Love total rushing yards: Over 16.5

While Jordan Love isn’t an elite scrambler, he is a capable runner. The Green Bay quarterback has surpassed this number in each of the past two games and only didn’t in Week 1 because the Packers were winning by a large margin. This game should be very close, and when that happens, Love is more likely to turn to his legs to pick up yards. This is our favorite bet on offer with the top NFL betting sites for Thursday’s clash.

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