EPL Matchweek 26 best bets & goalscorer picks – March 4-5, 2023

After a set of midweek games, the Premier League will return for Matchweek 26 this weekend. Title competitors Arsenal, Manchester City and Manchester United will all be in action, and we have free EPL betting picks for those games and more.

Manchester City vs Newcastle United

This is set up to be a fascinating match between two teams vying for a Champions League spot. As of right now, Manchester City sit in second place and Newcastle are in fifth place. That being said, Newcastle have struggled in recent weeks and they have not matched their level of play from the early stages of the season. Still, they are playing in close games and the Magpies only have two losses on the season — a Premier League low. Manchester City have been solid recently, but not elite, and we think Newcastle should be able to limit them. We only need them to not lose by two for this bet to hit, and considering Newcastle have only allowed 15 goals this season, we think they will keep it close. Newcastle are 8-2-1 away from home against the spread, and that record of consistency should keep up in this spot.

Arsenal vs Bournemouth

When Arsenal signed Leandro Trossard from Brighton this past transfer window, he wasn’t expected to be a key piece of their attack. But, due to injuries, he has been thrust into the starting lineup — and he is delivering. While he only has one goal in six appearances with the Gunners, he has been finding himself in dangerous areas and has had two goals disallowed due to a VAR check. In this game, we expect Arsenal to dominate a Bournemouth side that has conceded the most goals in the Premier League. Given the current odds, Trossard to score holds all the value.

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa have been a bizarre team this season. They were terrible early and had to fire their coach; then new coach Unai Emery rescued their season before a three-game skid took all the air out of the tires. Last weekend, however, Villa finally ended that skid and it looks like they may have found their form. And at home, we think they will start a new win streak. Villa’s main problem is their leaky defense, but against Palace, that shouldn’t be a problem. Crystal Palace cannot score with any sort of consistency and they have only scored five goals in their last eight Premier League matches. Take Villa to win in a game where they should lock down an uninspiring Palace attack.

Chelsea vs Leeds United

There’s not much to this bet beyond Chelsea’s recent collapse. The once-elite squad has only won one Premier League game in its last nine tries and simply looks terrible. While Leeds are towards the bottom of the table and haven’t exactly been playing well, they are 1-0 with their new coach, Javi Gracia. Whether he truly changed anything remains to be seen, but getting any team at +475 against Chelsea right now is worth a shot.

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham have been playing great soccer of late and have won four of their last five Premier League matches. After a few months of inconsistency, they appear to have turned a corner, and that was showcased in their 2-0 demolition of Chelsea last week. In this fixture, they should stay hot and get a big away win. Wolves simply do not have the resources to stop Harry Kane, so the English talisman should dominate. And on the other side of the pitch, Wolves just aren’t creative enough. Spurs can be beat by a good attack and have conceded 35 goals; fortunately for them, Wolves have only scored 18 goals this season and they haven’t found a consistent striker. As a result, we expect Spurs to outscore Wolves and come away with yet another big win as they fight for a top-four finish.

Liverpool vs Manchester United

Marcus Rashford to score is becoming an auto-bet. The United winger is playing the best soccer of his career and has 28 goals across all competitions this season. And recently, he’s scored 10 goals in his last 10 EPL games. While Liverpool present a more difficult challenge than the average Premier League team, we aren’t doubting Rashford and United’s recent form has been amazing. We expect United to break through a beatable Liverpool defense on many occasions in this fixture, and when that happens, there’s a good chance it ends in a Rashford goal.

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