EPL Matchweek 27 betting picks & value plays – March 11-12, 2023

While it’s a two-horse title race between Arsenal and Manchester City, the remaining top-four spots are well and truly up for grabs as we enter Matchweek 27 of the 2022/23 Premier League season. See our free EPL betting picks for this weekend’s full slate of 10 games.

Bournemouth vs Liverpool

In many ways, young striker Darwin Nuñez has been scapegoated as the personification of Liverpool’s struggles this season. After a tough start, however, the Uruguayan striker has been banging in goals. He has four goals in his last four games, and it’s no surprise that his success lines up with a good run of Liverpool form. Against a terrible Bournemouth side, we expect the Reds to dominate. Bournemouth have conceded seven goals in their last two Premier League games, and that is largely in line with the season they have put together. Because of that, we will take Nuñez to end up on the scoresheet once again.

Leicester City vs Chelsea

Well, Chelsea have won two games in a row and it finally looks like they have figured things out. While they still sit in 10th place, the talent they have on the field is ridiculous and it was only a matter of time before they started to perform. Against Leicester away, we expect them to keep it up. The Foxes have lost four straight games and they’ve only scored one goal in that span. Chelsea’s issue has been scoring goals, but they should have an easy time against Leicester’s porous defense.

Everton vs Brentford

Everton have been better under new manager Sean Dyche. While they still sit in a relegation spot, Dyche has instituted tactics that make the Toffees annoying to play against and their defensive style should frustrate a solid Brentford team. And Everton will be at home, where they haven’t lost in three Premier League games. Although Brentford likely have the talent advantage, we believe Everton will soak up their offensive pressure and hit them on the counter. Brentford may be in ninth place, but they only have two wins away from home this season, so we are backing the Merseysiders to get a huge victory at Goodison Park.

Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest

For this pick, we have a little parlay. Tottenham shouldn’t struggle to win in this spot – and whenever they win, there’s a good chance Harry Kane scored. Spurs have been solid at home this season, and now they get to host a relegation candidate. Nottingham Forest have the second-worst defense in the league, and they won’t have any answers for this attack. Kane is putting together another elite season, with 18 goals in 26 EPL games, and this is a great spot for him to add to that tally.

Fulham vs Arsenal

Bukayo Saka to score is becoming an auto-bet at this price. While he plays on the wing and doesn’t get as many chances as a striker would get, Saka’s form has been one of the stories of the season. The 21-year-old winger cannot be stopped and now has 10 goals in 24 Premier League matches. He also has scored three goals in his past five matches. In this battle, the Gunners will take on a solid Fulham team that can score but lacks defensive consistency. At this price, it’s worth betting on Arsenal’s rising star to grab another goal.

Manchester United vs Southampton

Like the aforementioned Saka, Marcus Rashford is having the best season of his career. The Manchester United forward has been on fire in recent performances and has 10 goals in his last 11 EPL battles. Now, Rashford and United get a home game against a Southampton side that is in danger of being relegated. The Saints have struggled to defend all season long and will have a tough time at Old Trafford. United should dominate at home, as they have done all season, and Rashford will be fed great scoring chances. While the -135 with Bovada is a little short, Rashford’s form cannot be ignored.

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