Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys betting odds and tips

3:25pm CDT Sunday, October 6 at AT&T Stadium – Arlington, TX

Green Bay Packers
Moneyline odds: +160 at Nags.bet Betting line: +3.5 at -111.11 Record (ATS): 3-1 (3-1)

Dallas Cowboys
Moneyline odds: -175 at Nags.bet Betting line: -3.5 at -111.11 Records (ATS): 3-1 (3-1)

Both the Green Bay Packers and the Dallas Cowboys are shooting for their fourth win of the 2019 NFL season in Sunday’s clash at AT&T Stadium.

The Packers are coming off a 34-27 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles where they had many more overall yards (491 to 336) but simply could not get it done in the red zone.

SEE ALSO: FALCONS @ TEXANS BETTING TIPS

The Cowboys offense was stymied in their last game as they lost 12-10 on the road in the New Orleans. Ezekiel Elliot was contained and America’s Team was held to only 257 total yards.

Aaron Rodgers passed for 422 yards with two touchdowns and one pick in the loss to the Eagles, but he was strip sacked and his INT in the red zone late in the fourth quarter sealed the Packers’ fate. Davante Adams was huge with 180 receiving yards and while Jimmy Graham had 61 receiving yards, he missed a key catch late in the game in the Philly end zone on fourth down.

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Green Bay have not been able to get a good ground game going and in the loss to the Eagles Rodgers led the team with 46 rushing yards and RB Aaron Jones only had 21 rushing yards on 13 carries. Jamaal Williams was injured and is listed as questionable for the trip to Texas, meaning Jones may have to handle the load in the backfield.

Dallas rank 10th in the league defending the pass and 12th defending the run and even in the loss last week those units played pretty well. The Cowboys only managed 45 rushing yards in the Big Easy and Elliot, who had rushed for 100+ yards in two straight games, was held to 35 yards at only 1.9 yards per carry.

Dak Prescott was less than impressive in the loss to the Saints, going 22/33 for 223 yards without a touchdown and he was picked off once. Star WR Amari Cooper only had 48 receiving yards and has failed to register 100+ receiving yards in a game since the season-opening win over the New York Giants.

Dallas will be facing a Green Bay defense that ranks third against the pass but only 26th against the run, so you can be sure Elliot will get a heavy workload in this game. The Eagles pounded the ball against Green Bay to the tune of 176 rushing yards, so look for the Cowboys to follow that blueprint.

These teams last met in 2017 and the road team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between these two.

Green Bay Packers betting trends

• Packers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games
• Packers are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games facing teams from the NFC
• Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss
• Packers have an Over record of 18-7 in their last 25 road games

Dallas Cowboys betting trends

• Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games
• Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record
• Cowboys have an Over record of 5-2 in their last seven games

Packers vs Cowboys head-to-head trends

• Packers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Cowboys
• Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six games between these teams
• Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six games between these teams
• In the last five games between these teams in Dallas the Over record is 5-0

Green Bay @ Dallas betting predictions

Dallas Cowboys -3.5 at -111.11 with Nags.bet

While it seems an even contest on paper with both teams at 3-1, the Packers simply do not have enough balance. They have issues running the ball and cannot stop it going the other way, which is a big problem facing Elliot and the Cowboys. Rodgers will put up a lot of passing yards and look good doing it, but Dallas will grind out a win at home and cover the spread thanks to their ground game.