Jaguars @ Jets NFL Week 16 best bets – Thursday Night Football

The 7-7 New York Jets will host the 6-8 Jacksonville Jaguars this Thursday night in Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season. While both are in the playoff mix, a loss in this spot would likely end their chances of competing in January. Here are our free betting picks for this crucial Thursday game.

Jaguars @ Jets spread pick: New York +1.5

This is a classic battle between an explosive offense and a lockdown defense. The Jets have won on the backs of an elite defense all season and have consistently shut down opposing offenses. The Jags, on the other hand, have won due to quarterback Trevor Lawrence and have been victorious in four of their past five games. In this one, however, we are taking the Jets at the line. Thursday games tend to be sloppy and that should work in the Jets’ favor. Jacksonville have been hot recently, but their defense is still terrible. The Jags have given up over 34 points in two of their past three games and that will allow the Jets to score more than usual. Combine that with the Jets’ defense and it looks like New York should get a huge win in their playoff push.

Jaguars @ Jets total points: Over 38.5

While we think the Jets will win this game on the backs of their defense, the over is still the play here. Considering the Jags’ defense, this should be higher scoring than most Thursday games. The Jaguars have a bottom-five passing defense, and although the Jets’ offense has been stagnant in recent weeks, this defense is too bad to not score on. The Jets should be able to score 20-plus points in this contest, while the Jags have been too hot to completely shut down recently. This won’t be a ridiculously high-scoring affair, but the over should hit as both offenses should look pretty good in this contest.

Jets touchdown scorer: Garrett Wilson

In his rookie year, Garrett Wilson has already established himself as one of the best receivers in the league. He is the number one target for Zach Wilson in the Jets’ offense and he’s going to be a problem for years to come. While he has endured some tough touchdown luck, he still has four this season, and in this game he is a great bet to score his fifth. The Jaguars cannot stop anyone defensively and Wilson should run rampant on them.

Jaguars touchdown scorer: Trevor Lawrence

Due to the elite Jets defense, picking Jaguars touchdown scorers is a little risky. However, Trevor Lawrence holds a lot of value. The Jags QB is very athletic and has scored four times this season rushing the ball. While he doesn’t like to run, he will when he has to, and against this Jets defense, that is an effective way to move the ball. This bet is certainly a long shot, but the +500 on offer at Bovada makes it worth a pop.

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