La Liga 2021/22 Matchweek 25 betting picks & top odds
- By: Dave Consolazio
- February 17, 2022
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After settling for one point last weekend in a 0-0 draw against Villarreal, Real Madrid will try to get back in the win column this Saturday at home against Alaves. This matchup along with Saturday’s Granada vs Villarreal and Sunday’s Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad matches are featured in this weekend’s La Liga Matchweek 25 best bets.
Granada vs Villarreal
Villarreal (9-9-6) played Real Madrid to a 0-0 draw for the second time this season last Saturday, picking up at least one point for the eighth time in its last nine games with a 6-2-1 record over that stretch. The club has not allowed a goal over its last three matches, defeating Mallorca 3-0 at home and Real Betis 2-0 on the road before Saturday’s scoreless draw.
Granada (5-9-10) has cooled off considerably since going on a solid 5-6-2 run through the end of 2021. The club has lost four straight matches and has failed to score a goal in each of its last three losses to Osasuna, Real Madrid and Real Sociedad. Villarreal on the moneyline and the UNDER both look like reasonable plays here, but we’ll go with Villarreal to pick up the win as the side offers a better payout at -105 than the UNDER does at -118.
Villarreal to win
Real Madrid vs Alaves
Since having a seven-match winning streak snapped back in December with a 0-0 draw at home against Cadiz, Real Madrid (16-6-2) hasn’t looked like its usual dominant self. The club is 3-3-1 over its last seven games, and only one of those three wins was by more than a single goal. Alaves (5-5-14) snapped an 11-match winless streak of 0-4-7 with a 2-1 win at home over Valencia last week, but the club is still sitting in the relegation danger zone at 18th place in La Liga standings.
On paper, this looks like a clear blowout win for Real Madrid. Then again, so did Getafe (which resulted in a 1-0 loss), Cadiz (a 0-0 draw) and Granada (a 1-0 win). Nothing about the club’s current form makes us want to jump on them as -475 moneyline favorites or as -1.75 goal favorites against the spread. Instead, we’ll take The UNDER 3.25 goals; it’s unlikely that Alaves will find a goal against this stingy Real defense, and a 1-0 or 2-0 win for the home team both seem like very realistic outcomes.
Under 3.25 total goals
Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad (10-8-5) and Athletic Bilbao (8-10-6) are both sitting right outside of the top five of the La Liga standings in sixth and eighth place, respectively. While Sociedad is four points higher than Bilbao on the table despite having played one fewer match in 2021-22, very little separates the two clubs statistically. Athletic Club has scored 25 goals and conceded 21 in 24 matches while Sociedad has scored 24 goals and conceded 21 in 23 matches.
Sociedad is 2-3-0 over its last five matches and hasn’t allowed a goal in each of its last four. Considering how strong both of these clubs are in the defensive end and how weak they are on offense, this looks to be a pretty clear play on the UNDER this Sunday. The last four matches between these two clubs have produced two goals or less with two straight 1-1 draws preceded by two 1-0 Sociedad wins.
Under 2.25 total goals
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