Makhachev v Tsarukyan: UFC 311 preview & predictions | January 18

UFC 311 takes place this Saturday night at the Intuit Dome in California, headlined by an exciting rematch between reigning lightweight champion Islam Makhachev and rising star Arman Tsarukyan.

Makhachev is heavily favored to defend his title according to online betting markets, while Tsarukyan has earned his shot with an impressive string of victories.

Read on for a detailed preview and expert UFC betting predictions.

Makhachev v Tsarukyan UFC 311 main event preview

Islam Makhachev vs Arman Tsarukyan

Islam Makhachev (26-1-0) has cemented his status as the dominant force in the UFC lightweight division since 2022, capturing the belt with a submission win over Charles Oliveira. His impressive title defenses include two victories against Alexander Volkanovski and a win over Dustin Poirier. The 33-year-old continues to refine his skills and will aim to leverage his wrestling expertise and physicality to maintain his title. Makhachev’s elite grappling and striking combination makes him a formidable opponent, with 12 submission wins highlighting his ground game mastery.

Arman Tsarukyan (22-3-0) has earned his shot at the title through a stellar four-fight winning streak, defeating top contenders such as Damir Ismagulov, Joaquim Silva, Beneil Dariush, and Charles Oliveira. At 28 years old, Tsarukyan has developed into a well-rounded fighter, boasting knockout power, slick boxing, and strong wrestling abilities. While his speed and striking will be key advantages, he will need to manage his energy effectively to sustain success over five rounds. Despite his underdog status with the top online sportsbooks, Tsarukyan’s growth since their first encounter in 2019 makes him a dangerous challenger.

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Makhachev v Tsarukyan UFC 311 predictions

This matchup is closer than the odds suggest, with Tsarukyan presenting a legitimate challenge. The key to his success lies in capitalizing on his speed and striking while avoiding prolonged grappling exchanges with Makhachev. While Tsarukyan’s best chance may be an early knockout, Makhachev’s relentless pressure and experience make him the likelier victor over five rounds.

Our prediction leans towards Makhachev retaining his title via decision in a competitive and high-paced main event. However, a small bet on Tsarukyan by KO/TKO could provide value as a potential upset with the leading online casinos.

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