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Pittsburgh Steelers v New England Patriots Betting Picks & Predictions

NFL AFC betting tips for weekend of January 9

A huge NFL rivalry gets off right away in the first round of the the 2019 NFL season on the headline Sunday Night Football game when the defending Super Bowl champions New England Patriots host the Pittsburgh Steelers at “The Pats” home ground Gillette Stadium, Foxborough.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots Odds & Betting

  • Betting Line: Patriots -5.5 O/U 49
  • Moneyline Odds: Pittsburgh Steelers +195, New England Patriots -235

Steelers vs Patriots Game

  • Date and Time: Sunday, Sep. 8 at 8:20 pm ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium Foxboro, MA
  • TV: NBC

Pittsburg Steelers v NE Patriots NFL Match History & Game Background

The Pats are a 5.5-point favorite in NFL betting markets and they have covered the spread in five of their last seven home games facing the Steelers.

Gone are Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell for the Steelers, who had a tumultuous season last year going 9-6-1 and missing the playoffs. One of the bright spots to the season was beating the Patriots at home 17-10.

The Pats won their 6th Super Bowl last season with the old duo of Tom Brady and Bill Belichick and are the NFL betting favorites to win it all this season.

Even with Bell sitting out all season the Steelers still had an offense that ranked 6th in the league. Ben Roethlisberger led the league with 5.129 yards with 34 TD and 16 INT and JuJu Smith-Schuster led the team with 1,426 yards. Not only is Brown (1,297 yards last season) gone, but TE Jesse James (423 yards) is also gone. Still, Big Ben has weapons and a legit offensive line in front of him.

One of the main reasons the Pittsburgh run game did not have a huge fall off without Bell, was that James Conner stepped in and rushed for 973 yards and also had 497 receiving yards.

New England ranked 12th against the run, but only 2nd against the pass. In last season’s game against the Steelers the Patriots gave up 158 rushing yards and that was with Connor on the sidelines with an injury.

The Patriots have some issues in the beginning of the season, as Rob Gronkowski not only retired, but two other TE’s in Benjamin Watson and Lance Kendricks will miss the first four games of the season due to PED suspensions. Also, right up to the beginning of the season they traded for some new offensive lineman and with David Andrews on IR, so the O-line has not had much time to gel.

Brady had another solid campaign passing for 4,355 yards with 29 TD and 11 TD and the line did a good job protecting him only giving up 21 sacks. However, that line is in flux with the new faces and Andrews out and protecting Brady is key for them in this season opener.

Sony Michel led the Pats as a rookie with 931 rushing yards and three players with at least 720 in in Super Bowl MVP Julian Edelman, the recently reinstated Josh Gordan, and RB James White, who also rushed for 425 yards.

The Pittsburgh defense ranked in the top 10 against the pass and the run last season and in the win over New England they held them to 96 rushing yards. While the D did not have a big sack guy up front, they return four players that had at least 4.5 sacks.

Steelers versus “Pats” NFL Betting Trends

  • Steelers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams from the AFC
  • Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Week 1 games
  • Steelers have an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games
  • Patriots are 39-16-2 ATS in their last 57 home games
  • Patriots are 40-17 ATS in their last 57 games
  • Patriots have an Under record of 9-3 in their last 12 games

Pittsburgh v New England Head-to-Head (H2H) Game Trends

  • Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against the Steelers
  • Patriots are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games against the Steelers
  • In the last 5 games between these teams the Under record is 4-1

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Steelers vs Patriots Predictions, Picks & Tips

This will be like last season’s game in that we expect a pretty close contest, but unlike last years tussle this will be a high scoring affair.

Brady and Big Ben will play well, but at home The Pats will come up with some key stops. In the season opener for both teams the Patriots will get the home win and cover the 5.5-point spread.

Pittsburgh Steelers v NE Patriots NFL Betting Predictions

  • Patriots will win H2H
  • Patriots will cover the spread
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