Serie A 2021/22 Matchweek 14 betting picks & value plays
- By: Dave Consolazio
- November 24, 2021
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Napoli suffered its first lost of the season last Sunday and will be looking to bounce back with a win at home against Lazio in Matchweek 14 of the 2021/22 Serie A season. We’ve made a pick in that game and also have selections in the Sampdoria vs Verona and Juventus vs Atalanta matchups this weekend.
Sampdoria vs Verona
Since opening the season with three straight losses, Verona (5-4-4) has compiled a 5-4-1 record over its last 10 matches. There has been a pretty severe home and road split during these 10 games a Verona is a perfect 5-0-0 at home and is 0-4-1 on the road over that stretch. Sampdoria (3-3-7) defeated Salernitana 2-0 over the weekend to snap a three-game losing streak.
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Given Verona’s struggles on the road this season, it isn’t too surprising to see the three-way line in this matchup listing all three outcomes as fairly likely with Sampdoria going off at +180, Verona at +160 and the draw at +240. Playing against a team as weak as Sampdoria gives Verona a golden opportunity to break its road slump. The +160 is tempting, but we’ll go with the far safer pick’em line at -115 to get money back on a draw.
Verona to win or draw
Juventus vs Atalanta
Juventus (6-3-4) has shaken off back-to-back losses with back-to-back wins, defeating Lazio 2-0 on the road on Saturday and Fiorentina 1-0 at home the week before. The club will try to keep things rolling at home against Atalanta this Saturday. Atlanta (7-4-2) is undefeated over its last six matches with a 4-2-0 record including a perfect 3-0-0 record in its last three road games.
On paper this looks like a matchup that should be very difficult to predict, but oddsmakers have Juventus set as a pretty clear favorite at +115, while Atalanta is going off at +240 on the road. These numbers seem a bit skewed; Atalanta doesn’t show much of a dropoff when playing on the road and is red-hot on offense right now, averaging three goals per game over the team’s last four matches. We’ll take a shot on the road club.
Atalanta to win
Napoli vs Lazio
Napoli (10-2-1) suffered its first defeat of the season in a 3-2 road loss to Inter Milan. Prior to that result, Napoli had conceded only four goals in its previous 12 matches. Lazio (6-3-4) had a 2-1-0 unbeaten streak snapped last weekend in its 2-0 loss to Juventus. Both clubs will be looking to bounce back with a win this Sunday.
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Look for Napoli to be the team to succeed. Napoli has been dominant all season long, and a one-goal loss on the road to the defending Serie A champions shouldn’t do much to dissuade anyone’s confidence in them. Back at home against a solid but weaker opponent, Napoli should get back in the win column here.
Napoli to win
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