Serie A Matchweek 19 betting picks – Wednesday, December 22

Inter Milan carries a 10-game unbeaten streak into Wednesday’s clash with Torino in Matchweek 19 of the 2021/22 Serie A season. We’ve got a play in that match as well as picks in the Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina and Empoli vs AC Milan games in our Serie A betting picks for December 22.

Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina

Hellas Verona (6-5-7) fell to 0-0-2 over its last two games on Sunday with a 1-0 road loss to Torino one week after losing to Atalanta 2-1 at home. Prior to these two losses, Verona was 4-3-1 over its previous eight matches and 5-1-0 over its previous six home games. Fiorentina (10-1-7) played to its first draw of the season in a 2-2 game at home against Sassuolo on Sunday after having won each of its previous three games.

While Fiorentina does deserve some credit for its strong play over this current 3-1-0 streak, the wins have come against three of Serie A’s worst teams in Sampdoria, Bologna, and Salernitana. Before beating Bologna 3-2 on the road, Fiorentina was 0-0-4 over its last four road games. With recent results perhaps skewing this betting line a bit too much, we’ll take a stab on Verona as a home underdog.

Inter Milan vs Torino

Inter Milan (13-4-1) cruised to an easy 5-0 win over lowly Salernitana on Friday. Inter is now 8-2-0 over its last 10 games including a current six-match winning streak. The club has won each of its last five matches by at least two goals and without having conceded a goal, outscoring its opponents 16-0 over that five-game stretch.

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Torino (7-4-7) is on a four-match unbeaten streak of its own with a 2-2-0 record and two straight wins over Bologna and Verona. Inter Milan will almost certainly win this match, but there isn’t much value in the moneyline at -305 and the spread -1.5 goals is a bit scary as all seven of Torino’s losses this season have come by only one goal. We like the UNDER; it’s hard to see Torino scoring a goal with Inter in such strong form on defense, and a 1-0 or 2-0 Inter win seems far more likely than a match with three or four goals scored.

Empoli vs AC Milan

Empoli (8-3-7) is making the most of its recent promotion to Serie A with a respectable 27 points through 18 matches. The club is 3-2-0 over its last five matches in a stretch that includes wins at home over Fiorentina and on the road against Napoli. AC Milan (12-3-3) lost to Napoli 1-0 on Sunday to fall to 2-1-3 over its last six matches since opening the season with a 10-2-0 record.

Milan is obviously the far more talented team, but Empoli is playing with a lot of confidence right now and should be fired up for this matchup at home against one of Serie A’s top teams. We see this game being competitive and are torn between betting on the draw or the outright upset, so we’ll cover both with a bet on Empoli with the spread.