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UFC Fight Night: Almeida v Lewis main card preview & top picks

UFC Fight Night betting picks

UFC Night Night: Almeida vs Lewis

Main Card Odds & Fight Previews

When Saturday, November 4 – main card from 10pm BRT
Where Ibirapuera Arena – Sao Paulo, Brazil
Watch Live ESPN+ (US), BT Sport (UK), ESPN (AU), UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night heads to Ibirapuera Arena in Sao Paulo, Brazil, for a fun card that is stacked with local talent. Surging middleweight prospect Gabriel Bonfim will square off against the experienced Nicolas Dalby, and we are excited by the prospect of Abus Magomedov facing local hero Caio Borralho. Read on to see BettingPlanet’s top UFC picks and fight predictions for the night.

Jailton Almeida v Derrick Lewis

Jailton Almeida


Derrick Lewis

-526.32 at Bovada UFC betting odds +380 at Bovada
19-2-0 MMA records 27-11-0
32 Age 38
6’3″ Height 6’3″
231lbs Weight 263.5lbs
79″ Reach 79″
Brazil Nationality USA

Can veteran heavyweight Derrick Lewis spring an upset when he takes on a red-hot Jailton Almeida in enemy territory? See our UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Lewis main event betting preview here.

Gabriel Bonfim v Nicolas Dalby

Gabriel Bonfim


Nicolas Dalby

-666.67 at Bovada UFC betting odds +450 at Bovada
15-0-0 MMA records 22-4-0
26 Age 38
6’1″ Height 5’10”
171lbs Weight 170.5lbs
72.5″ Reach 74.5″
Brazil Nationality Denmark

Gabriel Bonfim (15-0-0) is a Brazilian prodigy with a perfect MMA record. He has never been defeated or even faced the judges’ scorecard. Some 12 of his professional wins have come via submission, with the remainder coming by way of knockout. With a partisan crowd at his back and a chance to shine in a co-main event, this looks like a perfect opportunity for the 26-year-old to make his mark.

Nicolas Dalby (22-4-0) has drawn a tough assignment but should be confident based on some solid recent performances. The Dane has won four of his last five fights, with the loss occurring against wily veteran Tim Means. The 38-year-old holds an experience advantage and has faced higher-ranked competitors than his young opponent, but we are inclined to follow the money and back in the young Brazilian.

Gabriel Bonfim by submission


Rodrigo Nascimento v Don’Tale Mayes

Rodrigo Nascimento


Don’Tale Mayes

-200 at Bovada UFC betting odds +159 at Bovada
10-1-0 MMA records 10-5-0
30 Age 31
6’2″ Height 6’6″
264.5lbs Weight 262.5lbs
80″ Reach 81″
Brazil Nationality USA

Rodrigo Nascimento (10-1-0) has suffered just a single loss inside the octagon. The heavyweight has a solid ground game and choked out this opponent when they met back in 2020. The 30-year-old is less impressive when forced to stand and strike for three rounds and can wane in the latter portions of each stanza. If he can avoid his opponent’s heavy hands and secure an early takedown, Nascimento should be able to control the action without testing his less-than-stellar gas tank.

Don’Tale Mayes (10-5-0) has enjoyed a resurgence since losing to Nascimento, recording three wins, one loss, and one no-contest. The 31-year-old has shared the cage with some big names in the 265-pound division, including Ciryl Gane and Andre Arlovski. Mayes will enjoy a four-inch height advantage and will need to carefully pick his shots from long range to prevail here.

Don’Tale Mayes to win


Caio Borralho v Abus Magomedov

Caio Borralho


Abus Magomedov

-303.03 at Bovada UFC betting odds +234 at Bovada
14-1-0 MMA records 25-5-1
30 Age 33
5’10” Height 6’2″
185.5lbs Weight 196.5lbs
75″ Reach 78″
Brazil Nationality Russia

Caio Borralho (14-1-0) is another up-and-coming Brazilian talent with an impressive record. The 30-year-old is unbeaten in four UFC appearances after earning his contract via Dana White’s Contender Series. Borralho is a flashy fighter who strings together effective striking combinations. He has a solid ground game but is not blessed with knockout power, and most of his professional wins have come via the judges.

Abus Magomedov (25-5-1) last fought against current UFC middleweight champion Sean Strickland. The Russian was favoured to prevail, but after a competitive opening round, he was unable to handle the relentless pressure of the American. Magomedov will be looking to bounce back from that disappointment and should have a decent experience and power advantage. We are surprised at the generous odds being offered and will be obliged to accept them.

Abus Magomedov to win


Rodolfo Vieira v Armen Petrosyan

Rodolfo Vieira


Armen Petrosyan

-108.7 at Bovada UFC betting odds -108.7 at Bovada
9-2-0 MMA records 9-2-0
34 Age 36
6’0″ Height 6’3″
186lbs Weight 186lbs
73″ Reach 71″
Brazil Nationality Italy

Rodolfo Vieira (9-2-0) will need to be at his rugged best against a tricky opponent in this matchup. The 34-year-old Brazilian is 2-2 from his last four appearances and lacks complete MMA polish. He is a destroyer on the mat, with eight of his nine wins coming via submission. Vieira’s arm triangle choke is especially dangerous and appears to be his most likely route to victory here.

Armen Petrosyan (9-2-0) is a tall and rangy striker with a 3-1 UFC record. The loss was a competitive decision result against Caio Borralho, who also fights on this card. The Armenian-Italian has powerful kicks in his arsenal but may be tempted to focus on his punching given the superior ground game of his opponent. If Vieira catches one of the head or body kicks coming in his direction, a trip to the canvas is bound to follow.

Armen Petrosyan to win


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