Wimbledon men’s finals betting preview – July 11, 2021

Novak Djokovic can move into a three-way tie with Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal for the most Grand Slam tournament wins in history with 20 if he is able to defeat Matteo Berrettini in the 2021 Wimbledon Final on Sunday. Berrettini finds himself in the spoiler role as he has advanced to his first Grand Slam final ever. Can Berrettini pull off the upset, or will Djokovic lift the cup again as a six-time Wimbledon champion?

Novak Djokovic (-487) vs. Matteo Berrettini (+397)

Novak Djokovic continued his incredibly high level of play on Friday as he defeated Denis Shapovalov 7-6, 7-5, 7-5. Djokovic has not dropped a set at Wimbledon since the first set of the first round against Jack Draper, stringing together a remarkable 18 straight sets with wins over Draper, Kevin Anderson, Denis Kudla, Christian Garin, Marton Fucsovics and Shapovalov. The 34-year-old came into Wimbledon with wins in each of his last two tournaments (Belgrade 2 and the French Open) and is well on his way to a third straight tournament win here.

Matteo Berrettini looked great in his semi-final win over Hubert Hurkacz. Berrettini had 22 aces to Hurkacz’s five and was successful on six of his 10 break points en route to a convincing 6-3, 6-0, 6-7, 6-4 victory. The 25-year-old has defeated Guido Pella, Botic van de Zandschulp, Aljaz Bedene, Ilya Ivashka, Felix Auger Aliassime and Hurkacz at Wimbledon to get to this point. Like Djokovic, Berrettini entered Wimbledon with momentum coming off of a singles title in the Queen’s Club Championships.

Berrettini has won 11 straight matches. His last loss came to none other than Novak Djokovic when the two met in the quarterfinals in the French Open and Djokovic came away with a 6-3, 6-2, 6-7, 7-5 victory. In the only other previous meeting between these two men, Djokovic defeated Berrettini 6-2, 6-1 in the 2019 Nitto ATP Finals Great Britain event.

The Italian is in excellent form and has certainly earned his spot in this Wimbledon final. The issue for him is that he is playing maybe the greatest tennis player of all time who happens to be playing some of the best tennis of his career. Djokovic is highly motivated to tie Nadal and Federer with this win, and perhaps put the greatest-of-all-time debate to rest with a calendar year Grand Slam and a record-setting victory in the US Open.

But first thing’s first; Djokovic has to take care of business on Sunday. And with the way he’s playing, it doesn’t feel like there’s much doubt that he will, even against a very capable opponent in Berrettini.