Burns v Brady UFC betting picks & predictions | September 7

The main event for UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady at the Apex in Las Vegas on Saturday is a compelling showdown between top-10 welterweights. While Gilbert Burns is coming off a pair of losses, Sean Brady is on the rise and looks like a worthy betting favourite. Read on for fight analysis and top betting picks.

Burns v Brady fight analysis

Gilbert Burns vs Sean Brady

Gilbert Burns (22-7-0) has managed two wins and three losses since 2022. The 38-year-old has fought at the highest level since making his UFC debut in 2014 and appears to be showing the associated wear and tear. Another loss here will be the Brazilian’s third in a row and might signal the conclusion of his decorated career.

In his most recent appearance, Burns was minutes away from earning a decision victory over emerging Australian star Jack Della Maddalena; however, he surrendered top position midway through the third round before being stopped with knees and elbows. Recovering from knockout losses only becomes harder with age, and Burns is the outsider with online bookmakers heading into this main event bout.

Sean Brady (16-1-0) has a single loss on a long professional record. He was stopped by Belal Muhammad in 2022, which looks better in hindsight given Muhammad has since captured the UFC welterweight crown. The 31-year-old broke into the top 10 in 2023 with a submission win over Kelvin Gastelum, and a win here would propel him into the top five.

Brady is a well-rounded athlete who matches up well with Burns, and leading UFC bookies have installed him as a warm favourite. He owns a BJJ black belt and has competed successfully against elite international grapplers. He is not a prolific knockout artist but can effectively accumulate points with solid output. The American has fought sparingly in recent years and should be the fresher competitor.

Gilbert Burns v Sean Brady betting tips

Brady appears the obvious selection due to his superior form and physical advantages. Both athletes are tough and durable, so this contest is likely to enter the latter rounds. Whether Brady can finish Burns is hard to predict, but this fight is every chance to last the distance.

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