Explore our comprehensive Tour de France 2025 betting preview, including outright odds, jersey markets, top contenders, and expert analysis ahead of Stage 1.
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Tour de France 2025 betting preview & top picks | July 5-27
The 2025 Tour de France is set to captivate cycling fans across the globe when the world’s most prestigious stage race begins on Saturday, July 5, in Lille, France. Spanning 21 grueling stages and covering more than 3,300km, the 112th edition of the race promises a thrilling mix of individual time trials, brutal summit finishes, and tactical flat stages that will define the general classification.
With iconic climbs such as Mont Ventoux and the Col de la Loze returning to the route and a rare mountain time-trial on Stage 13 to Peyragudes, the 2025 Tour de France route is tailor-made for well-rounded outright contenders who can dominate both in the mountains and against the clock. Cycling punters will also be eyeing the points classification, King of the Mountains jersey, and young rider markets, which remain wide open heading into Stage 1.
Betting on the Tour de France with top online betting sites has surged in popularity in recent years, and with a star-studded start list featuring defending champion Tadej Pogačar, two-time winner Jonas Vingegaard, and comeback king Remco Evenepoel, the 2025 edition is shaping up to be one of the most competitive yet. Whether you’re backing the outright winner, looking for value in stage winners, or targeting long shots in jersey classifications, our Tour de France betting tips will help you find value across the three-week race.
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Tour de France 2025 outright winner betting odds
- Tadej Pogacar (SLO) – -277.78
- Jonas Vingegaard (DEN) – +250
- Remco Evenepoel (BEL) – +1000
- Joao Almeida (POR) – +1800
- Florian Lipowitz (GER) – +3300
- Primoz Roglic (SLO) – +3300
- Felix Gall (AUT) – +6600
- Matteo Jorgenson (USA) – +6600
- Ben O’Connor (AUS) – +10000
- Carlos Rodriguez (ESP) – +10000
- Enric Mas (ESP) – +10000
- Mattias Skjelmose (DEN) – +10000
- Santiago Buitrago (COL) – +10000
- Simon Yates (GBR) – +10000
- Tobias Halland Johannessen (NOR) – +10000
- Adam Yates (GBR) – +20000
- Lenny Martinez (FRA) – +20000
- Oscar Onley (GBR) – +20000
- Sepp Kuss (USA) – +20000
- Geraint Thomas (GBR) – +30000
- Kevin Vauquelin (FRA) – +30000
- Lennert Van Eetvelt (BEL) – +30000
- Ben Healy (IRL) – +50000
- Eddie Dunbar (IRL) – +50000
- Guillaume Martin (FRA) – +50000
- Harold Tejada (COL) – +50000
- Laurens De Plus (BEL) – +50000
- Mathieu van der Poel (NED) – +50000
- Michael Storer (AUS) – +50000
- Thymen Arensman (NED) – +50000
- Ilan Van Wilder (BEL) – +100000
- Valentin Paret-Peintre (FRA) – +100000
- Wout Van Aert (BEL) – +100000
More odds available at Stake.com
2025 Tour de France betting picks
João Almeida to win
João Almeida is often overlooked but rarely underdelivers. The Portuguese all-rounder was fourth overall in 2024 and enters this year’s race in arguably better condition. A strong climber and reliable time-trialist, Almeida doesn’t often attack — but he stays consistent while others fade. He’s also tactically astute and rarely loses time due to poor positioning. While he’ll begin the Tour as a key support rider for Pogačar, there is precedent for UAE’s co-leaders to both shine — and should the outright favorite falter, Almeida would likely unleash for the yellow.
João Almeida to win
Remco Evenepoel podium finish
Remco Evenepoel enters the Tour as a wildcard with immense upside. The 2022 Vuelta a España winner is known for his devastating time-trial ability and relentless racing style. While his climbing hasn’t yet matched the consistency of his rivals in the general classification, he showed significant improvement at the Critérium du Dauphiné and has reportedly targeted this Tour de France as a peak goal. With a course featuring two time trials, the parcours could play to his strengths.
Remco Evenepoel podium finish
Florian Lipowitz for King of the Mountains
If you’re hunting for value in the polka-dot jersey market, look no further than Florian Lipowitz. The German climber has quietly become a breakout talent for Red Bull–Bora-Hansgrohe, showing an affinity for long, punishing ascents. Lipowitz is unlikely to contend for the yellow jersey, which gives him freedom to chase breakaways and rack up points on summit finishes — a typical strategy for recent King of the Mountains winners. With some brutal Alpine stages on tap, the 24-year-old’s odds could shorten quickly if he animates the early climbing sections.
Florian Lipowitz for King of the Mountains
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