Motegi MotoGP 2025 betting tips, value plays & odds

See our free betting tips for the Japanese MotoGP this weekend, with odds from the top online sportsbooks.

September 25, 2025 0

The 2025 MotoGP season continues its global tour with the Japanese Grand Prix, running from September 26–28 at the iconic Mobility Resort Motegi in Tochigi.

Known for its stop-start layout and heavy braking zones, the Twin Ring circuit provides a unique challenge that often favors aggressive riders with strong front-end feel and precise control under pressure.

Marc Márquez leads the charge once again and enters the weekend as the firm -277.78 favorite with leading sportsbooks. With championship momentum on his side and Ducati’s edge under acceleration, Motegi looks tailor-made for the eight-time world champion to stretch his lead further.

Still, there’s plenty of heat bubbling behind him. Álex Márquez is turning into a consistent podium threat and remains Ducati’s most dangerous secondary option at +500, while Marco Bezzecchi has shown improved one-lap pace on the Aprilia and could be a factor at +750.

2025 Japanese MotoGP race winner odds

Marc Márquez (ESP-Ducati) – -277.78

Álex Márquez (ESP-Ducati) – +500

Marco Bezzecchi (ITA-Aprilia) – +750

Francesco Bagnaia (ITA-Ducati) – +1200

Pedro Acosta (ESP-KTM) – +1400

Jorge Martin (ESP-Aprilia) – +3300

Fabio Di Giannantonio (ITA-Ducati) – +4000

Fabio Quartararo (FRA-Yamaha) – +4000

Johann Zarco (FRA-Honda) – +4000

Enea Bastianini (ITA-KTM) – +5000

Jack Miller (AUS-Yamaha) – +5000

Fermín Aldeguer (ESP-Ducati) – +6600

Franco Morbidelli (ITA-Ducati) – +6600

Ai Ogura (JPN-Aprilia) – +10000

Joan Mir (ESP-Honda) – +10000

Luca Marini (ITA-Honda) – +10000

Maverick Viñales (ESP-KTM) – +10000

Brad Binder (RSA-KTM) – +17500

Miguel Oliveira (POR-Yamaha) – +17500

Any rider not listed – +45000

Raul Fernandez (ESP-Aprilia) – +45000

Alex Rins (ESP-Yamaha) – +70000

Somkiat Chantra (THA-Honda) – +100000

Fast Payouts

MotoGP Japan 2025 betting tips

Pedro Acosta to win

Pedro Acosta’s odds of +1400 present outstanding value given his upward trajectory in recent races. The KTM rider thrives in high-speed braking zones like those at Motegi and could challenge the leaders if he nails the launch. Expect fireworks if he’s in the mix with five laps to go.

Pedro Acosta to win

+1400 @
BetOnline

Enea Bastianini to win

Misano didn’t go his way, but Enea Bastianini has historically bounced back strong — and Motegi’s stop-start layout plays to his style. At +5000, he’s one of the best long shots on the board. A clean first sector could put him in podium contention early.

Enea Bastianini to win

+5000 @
BetOnline

Jack Miller to win

Jack Miller has fond memories of Japan and could thrive in unpredictable race conditions. At +5000, the Aussie’s experience and late-braking aggression could see him climb if chaos erupts ahead. Don’t rule out a top-three finish or better if the front group falters.