Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans betting tips and predictions

12pm CDT Sunday, October 6 at NRG Stadium – Houston, TX

Atlanta Falcons
Moneyline odds: +180 at Bovada
Betting line: +5 at -111.11
Record (ATS): 1-3 (1-3)

Houston Texans
Moneyline odds: -220 at Bovada
Betting line: -5 at -111.11
Record (ATS): 2-2 (2-2)

The Atlanta Falcons are in dire need of a win as they head to Houston, Texas, for Week 5 of the 2019 NFL season.

The Falcons are coming off a 24-10 loss to the Tennessee Titans to see them drop to 1-3 in the basement of the NFC South. They have the passing game with Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, but the run game has struggled and the defense has been inconsistent.

The Texans dropped to .500 on the season with their 16-10 loss to the Carolina Panthers. Their offense struggled in that game and DeShawn Watson simply missed some plays down the field.

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Ryan had another big game in Atlanta’s loss to the Titans where he passed for 397 yards and while he did not throw an interception, he did not throw a touchdown either. Auston Hooper and Mohamed Sanu combined for 221 receiving yards and only targeted Julio Jones seven times where he had four catches for 52 yards after two straight 100+ receiving yard games.

Where has the Falcons’ run game gone? They only rank 27th in the NFL in rushing yards per game and in the loss to Tennessee they only rushed for 58 yards. Devonta Freeman rushed for a grand total of 28 yards, averaging only 2.3 yards per carry, and through four games has just 157 rushing yards with 88 coming in one game.

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Ryan will be facing a Houston defense that does not rank in the top 15 in the league against the run or the pass. However, the pass rush is working well, with Mercilus and J.J. Watt combining for eight sacks.

Watson only passed for 160 yards in Houston’s loss to the Panthers with no touchdowns and no interceptions. He only averaged 4.8 yards per completion and it did not help that he was sacked six times. The offensive line for Houston gave up the most sacks in the league last season and this campaign has not been much better, but Watson has to shoulder some of the blame for failing to avoid the rush and make plays quicker.

Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson combined for 112 rushing yards in the loss to Carolina, with 65 of those yards coming on only two carries.

Atlanta’s defense has been solid against the pass this season and ranks seventh in that category, but they only rank 18th in run defense.

Watson’s inconsistency has reflected Houston’s season to date. He has to play well in this game and needs some help from his offensive line.

This is the first time these teams have met since the 2015 season. In the last four games between these teams, the home side is 4-0 ATS.

Atlanta Falcons betting trends

• Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games
• Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games
• Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a loss
• Falcons have an Under record of 5-2 in their last seven games following a loss

Houston Texans betting trends

• Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games
• Texans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss
• Texans have an Under record of 6-0 in their last six home games

Falcons vs Texans betting predictions

Atlanta Falcons to win – +180 at Bovada

Yeah, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four games between these teams and the Falcons are struggling, but they will turn things around with a balanced game on offense and a solid defensive performance. Atlanta will cover the spread in this game and should also grab the win, so it is a good idea to take the moneyline in this non-conference affair.