MLB Pick: San Francisco Giants at New York Mets

Overview

The San Francisco Giants are in New York for the final game of their four game series with the New York Mets. This will be the 7th meeting of the season between the Giants and Mets with the Giants winning 5 of the first 6 meetings.  The Mets are 9-11 in their last 20 games versus the Giants overall and have won just 4 of the last 10 meetings in New York.

Head to Head Trends

Giants are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Giants are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

New York Mets (+123)

The New York Mets are 4th in the National League Central 8 games back of the Washington Nationals. The Mets are 28-26 at home this season where they average 3.80 runs per game on offense and allow just 3.54 runs per game on defense. The Mets have been playing some solid ball over the past month winning 15 of their last 25 games although they have lost 3 of their last 5 games. On the hill for the Mets today is righty Dillon Gee who is 4-4 with a 3.77 ERA in 12 starts this season. Gee has struggled in his last 3 starts going 0-3 with an ERA over 8.

New York Mets Trends

Mets are 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
Mets are 1-4 in Gees last 5 starts.
Mets are 27-56 in their last 83 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

San Francisco Giants (-133)

The San Francisco Giants are 2nd in the National League West 2.5 games back of the 1st place LA Dodgers. The Giants are 9 games over .500 overall this season and are actually 10 games over .500 on the road so I guess they don’t like that home cooking very much. The Giants are 3-7 over their last 10 games largely due to their offense who have averaged just 2.90 runs per game over that period. Starting for the Giants today is veteran Tim Hudson who is 8-8 with a 2.71 ERA in his 20 starts this season. Hudson got off to a quick 7-2 start this season but is just 1-6 over his last 8 starts.

San Francisco Giants Trends

Giants are 2-6 in Hudsons last 8 starts.
Giants are 3-7 in their last 10 overall.

Conclusion

I like the Mets as a +123 home underdog today although the odds may differ depending on which online betting site you use. The Giants have won just 18 of their last 58 games are not the same power house they were earlier in the season when they had the best record in the National league so I think there’s some really solid value taking the Mets today.

Free Pick: New York Mets +123