Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys betting odds and predictions

Kickoff at 3:30pm CT (4:30pm ET)

Buffalo Bills
Moneyline odds: +250 at Nags.bet Betting line: +7 at -111.11 Record (ATS): 8-3 (7-3-1)

Dallas Cowboys
Moneyline odds: -330 at Nags.bet Betting line: -7 at -111.11 Record (ATS): 6-5 (7-4)

Just like turkey on Thanksgiving, the holiday would not be complete without a Dallas Cowboys game. This season they host the Buffalo Bills in a non-conference showdown in NFL Week 13.

The Bills have won two in a row and three of their last four games. While catching the 10-1 New England Patriots is unlikely, they are in a good spot for a Wild Card. They sit fifth in the AFC with a two-game lead over the Pittsburgh Steelers and Oakland Raiders.

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The Cowboys have lost two of their last three games, the most recent of which was a 13-9 defeat to the Pats. They still lead in the NFC East and their only competition in the division are the 5-6 Philadelphia Eagles, who they face in their second-last game of the season.

Buffalo have eight wins, but they have played the easiest schedule in the NFL and their only win facing a team that currently has a winning record came against the 6-5 Tennessee Titans. While Dallas have lost five games, four of those were against teams that have a combined tally of nine defeats this season.

The Bills are led by a solid rushing offense and a defense that is only giving up an average of 15.7 ppg. They are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against the Cowboys, although these teams have not met since 2015.

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The Buffalo defense starred in the 20-3 win over the Denver Broncos last time out. They held the Broncos to only 134 total yards and racked up 424 yards on offense, including 244 rushing yards.

Josh Allen passed for 185 yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the win over Denver and Cole Beasley led the team with 76 receiving yards. Devin Singletary rushed for 106 yards on 21 carries and the ageless Frank Gore chimed in for 65 yards to leapfrog Barry Sanders into third place on the all-time rushing list.

Dallas fought well in the loss to New England and finished the game with more yards than the AFC leaders (321-282). However, the Cowboys also had the game’s only turnover, had a punt blocked, and went 0/2 in the red zone.

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Dak Prescott passed for 212 yards against the Pats with no touchdowns and one interception. He had passed for at least 397 yards in each of his previous two games, racking up six touchdowns and only one interception.

Ezekiel Elliot rushed for 86 yards at a respectable 4.1 yards per carry and had only rushed for 92 yards combined in his previous two games. Look for Elliot to take on a big workload against the Bills.

One of the most intriguing aspects of this clash is how evenly matched the defensive units look on paper. Both have excellent pass defenses, with Buffalo ranking third in the NFL and Dallas in sixth, while the Bills are 15th in run defense and the Cowboys are 16th.

Buffalo Bills betting trends

• Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six road games
• Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games
• Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last five Thursday games
• Bills have an Under record of 6-1 in their last seven games

Dallas Cowboys betting trends

• Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games
• Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games facing a team with a winning record
• Cowboys have an Over record of 10-4 in their last 14 games

Bills vs Cowboys head-to-head trends

• Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games between these teams
• Bulls are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games facing the Cowboys

Bills @ Cowboys NFL betting picks

Dallas Cowboys -7 at -111.11 with Nags.bet

While the Cowboys are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven games facing a team with a winning record, the one ATS win was in their last game facing the Patriots. Most of Buffalo’s wins have come against weak teams and on turkey day in the Big D they will not fare well as the Cowboys win and cover at home.