Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions betting picks and predictions

Kickoff at 11:30am CT (12:30pm ET)

Chicago Bears
Moneyline odds: -240 at Bovada
Betting line: -5.5 at -111.11
Record (ATS): 5-6 (3-8)

Detroit Lions
Moneyline odds: +190 at Bovada
Betting line: +5.5 at -111.11
Record (ATS): 3-7-1 (4-7)

The Detroit Lions play their annual Thanksgiving game against the Chicago Bears this Thursday in a big NFC North division rivalry.

After losing four in a row the Bears have won two of their last three games. Even if they win in Michigan this week, they may need help from other teams to get back to the NFL Playoffs. They are at 5-6 and the 8-3 Minnesota Vikings currently hold the sixth and last playoff spot in the NFC.

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QB Matthew Stafford has missed the last three games with multiple back fractures and while he wants to come back, a return this season that looks unlikely. It was recently reported that backup QB Jeff Driskel is also out for this game and the Lions have had to turn to undrafted rookie David Blough, who has never taken an NFL snap.

The line for this game opened as a pick but with Blough getting the start the Bears are now a 5.5-point favorite.

The Bears beat the New York Giants 19-14 in their last game and held them to only 243 yards and one of 12 third-down conversions. The defense has played well in Chicago’s last three outings, only giving up an average of 14.7 ppg. However, their offense continues to struggle and ranks 28th in the league, averaging 17.1 ppg.

Chicago’s first win after their four-game losing streak was a 20-13 home victory over Detroit. The Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games facing the Lions.

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Mitchell Trubisky has not had a good season and ranks 31st in the league in QBR. In the win over the Giants he passed for 278 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. While he has three interceptions and only two touchdowns in his last two games, Trubisky passed for 173 yards with three touchdowns in the recent win over Detroit.

Allen Robinson III had a career high 131 receiving yard in the win over the Giants, but the Bears only rushed for 65 yards. David Montgomery, who leads the Bears in rushing yards on the season, has managed only 53 rushing yards in his last two games. He rushed for 60 yards in the win over the Lions but only averaged 3.5 yards per carry.

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Chicago defense is one of the better units in the league, ranking ninth against the pass and eighth against the run. The Lions, meanwhile, rank 30th in pass defense and 24th in run defense.

The Detroit defense played pretty well in the loss to the Redskins, holding them to only 230 yards against 364, but the Lions had four turnovers. Three of those came from backup QB Jeff Driskel, who passed for 207 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. It was his third game since Stafford went down and in his first two starts he had three touchdowns and only one pick.

The Lions did rush for 175 yards against Washington with rookie Bo Scarbrough leading the way with 98 yards at 5.4 yards per carry. Driskel also chimed in with 63 rushing yards.

Chicago Bears betting trends

• Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games
• Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall
• Bears are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record
• Bears have an Under record of 13-3 in their last 16 games

Detroit Lions betting trends

• Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last right home games
• Lions are 0-4 ATS vs teams with losing records
• Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall
• Lions have an Over record of 4-0 in their last four games

Bears vs Lions head-to-head trends

• Bears are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games facing the Lions
• Favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five games between these teams
• Home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last five games between these teams
• In the last eight games between these tams the Under record is 6-2

Bears @ Lions NFL betting predictions

Chicago Bears -1 at -111.11 with Bovada

While the Bears are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven games, the one game they did cover in that span was the recent win over the Lions. On top of that, the Lions have failed to cover the spread in their last six games. Chicago will play great defense in Detroit and win a low-scoring affair to keep their playoff hopes alive.