Commanders @ Eagles NFL Thursday betting picks | Week 11

Commanders @ Eagles best bets

Commanders @ Eagles game preview

The Philadelphia Eagles welcome the Washington Commanders this Thursday night in a blockbuster NFC East matchup to kick off Week 11 of the NFL 2024 season.

The Commanders have been the surprise packet of the season, but last Sunday they fell in dramatic fashion to the Pittsburgh Steelers by one point. Although they led by as much as 10 points early in the second half, Washington couldn’t hold on as the Steelers went ahead with two minutes remaining.

Despite the loss, the Commanders sit comfortably inside the playoff frame at 7-3. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels continues to impress both in the air and on the ground, and Washington rank second in the NFL for points scored. However, facing a quality divisional rival on the road, they are slight underdogs at +145 with top US sportsbooks.

Running back Brian Robinson Jr and left tackle Cornelius Lucas are both expected to return to the Commanders’ starting lineup after missing the last two games. Cornerback Marshon Lattimore remains sidelined with a hamstring injury.

It was a different story for the Eagles on Sunday as they secured a comfortable 34-6 win over the Dallas Cowboys. Facing a backup quarterback, Philly conceded just two field goals throughout the game, while quarterback Jalen Hurts added two touchdowns through the air and two on the ground.

After a mixed start to the season, the Eagles have won their last five matches, bringing their record to 7-2. The rushing combination of Saquon Barkley and Hurts has been unstoppable, while their defense ranks top five in the NFL. At -172.41 with Bovada, Philadelphia are favored to keep their streak going.

The Eagles are expecting star left tackle Jordan Mailata to return from a hamstring injury this week, while the rest of the squad remains relatively healthy.

Commanders @ Eagles betting strategy

Stopping the run game has been a problem for the Commanders. On the other hand, the Eagles are a top-two pass defense, which suggests that if they get on top early, they will be hard to stop. Adding the home-ground advantage and recent form, Philadelphia should be good enough to cover the spread of -3.5 points at -111.11 with leading online bookmakers.

Seven of the Commanders’ 10 games this season have gone over the total points line, while two of the Eagles’ past three fixtures have done the same. Each of the last three meetings between these teams has gone over as well, so back that trend to continue with more than 48.5 total points at -111.11 with top sports betting sites.

With the threat of Hurts and Barkley taking all the redzone carries for the Eagles, look towards the Commanders for value in the touchdown markets. Wide receiver Terry McLaurin has been Daniels’ favorite target this season, scoring six touchdowns and averaging 71 receiving yards per game. At +150 with Bovada to score at any time, McLaurin is Washington’s biggest threat in the air.

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