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Dallas Cowboys vs New England Patriots betting odds and tips

Cowboys @ Patriots NFL betting picks

Kickoff at 4:25pm ET (1:25pm PT)

Dallas Cowboys
Moneyline odds: +210 at Bovada
Betting line: +6 at -111.11
Record (ATS): 6-4 (6-4)

New England Patriots
Moneyline odds: -270 at Bovada
Betting line: -6 at -111.11
Record (ATS): 9-1 (7-3)

The Dallas Cowboys head to New England in NFL Week 12 to take on the Patriots, who are coming off a win after suffering their first defeat of the season in their previous game.

In Tom Brady’s press conference after the win over the Philadelphia Eagles it looked like he had just taken a loss. He is frustrated with the Pats’ offense, which struggled in the Philadelphia game. Still, New England are undefeated at home and two games clear in the AFC East, while their defense was great in the win over the Eagles.


The Cowboys are coming off a 35-27 win over the Detroit Lions. They have won three of their last four games and while they are in first place in the NFC East they only lead the Eagles by one game.

These teams have not met since the 2015 season. The Patriots have covered the spread in four of their last five games facing the Cowboys.

Dallas outgained Detroit 509 yards to 312 but did not have a good ground game, giving up 121 rushing yards. However, Dak Prescott went big with 444 passing yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions. Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb combined for 263 receiving yards.




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Ezekiel Elliot coughed up a fumble and only rushed for 48 yards at 2.8 yards per carry in the win over the Lions. After rushing for at least 105 yards in three games Elliot has only rushed for 92 yards combined in the last two games, failing to average over 2.8 yards per carry in each game.

America’s Team have their work cut out for them facing a New England defense that is the top-ranked unit in the NFL, sitting second against the pass and 10th against the run.


The Patriots only had 298 total yards and only 71 rushing yards in the win over the Eagles. Brady was only 26/47 for 216 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions. The QB has expressed frustration with the New England offense, but there is hope with 2019 first-round pick N’Keal Harry and TE Matt LaCosse both back from injury.

Sony Michel leads the Patriots in rushing yards, but he only rushed for 33 yards at 3.3 yards per carry against the Eagles. He has only managed 51 rushing yards across his last two games.

The Dallas defense has given up 55 points in their last two games and on the season that unit ranks seventh against the pass and 15th against the run.

Dallas Cowboys betting trends

  • Cowboys are 0-6 ATS in their last six games facing teams with a losing record
  • Cowboys are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game
  • Cowboys have an Over record of 6-1 in their last seven games

New England Patriots betting trends

  • Patriots are 22-10 ATS in their last 32 games facing teams with a winning record
  • Patriots are 42-17-2 ATS in their last 61 home games
  • Patriots have an Under record of 16-6 in their last 22 games

Cowboys vs Patriots head-to-head trends

  • Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five games facing the Cowboys
  • Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six games between these teams
  • In the last five games between these teams the Under record is 5-1

Cowboys @ Patriots NFL betting picks

New England Patriots -6 at -111.11 with Bovada

The Pats have had issues on offense this season, but their defense has been lights out. Too bad for the Cowboys that Brady will figure it out in this game and have a good one. On top of that the New England defense will put in another strong performance, which is why the Patriots will win and cover in this big non-conference showdown.


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