Duke vs. Virginia NCAA betting, odds analysis & spread tips

Betting Line: Duke -4
Over/Under: 146.5 at Bovada

Third ranked Duke (24-3) is still without star Zion Williamson and will hit the road to face a dangerous 20th-ranked Virginia Tech (21-6) that has won three of their last four NCAA games.

Duke is out of the top spot in the recent rankings, dropping to third after their recent loss against North Carolina. The game is now infamous with Zion Williamson blowing out of his Nike show and suffering a knee injury. It is not a very serious injury, but he will miss this game. The Blue Devils are tied for first place in the ACC with Virginia and North Carolina, who they face in the season finale.

Virginia Tech has won three of four games with their only loss in that span coming against 3rd ranked Virginia. The Hokies have not beaten any top-tier teams this season, but now may be their chance, as Duke is without Williamson and they are at home. Tech is led by one of the best defenses in the nation, which ranks ninth only giving up an average of 61.1 ppg.

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This season Virginia Tech is 12-2 at home and Duke is 7-0 on the road.

This season Virginia Tech is 16-11 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 7-18-2 and Duke is at 13-12-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 13-12-1.

This game is the first and only matchup between these teams this season.

The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five games between these teams.

Duke got over their bad loss to UNC and the loss of Williamson for some time with a solid 75-65 win over Syracuse on the road in their last game. The Blue Devils lit it up in the 2nd half outscoring the Orange 46-31 in the second half and for the game they shot 44.1% from the floor and held Syracuse to 34.3% shooting. RJ Barrett went for 30 points and Alex O’Connell, who is only averaging 4.6 ppg on the season, had 20 points.

Barrett leads the team averaging 23.3 ppg and while the loss of Williamson (21.6 ppg) is big they need other players to step up in the scoring department like they did in the last game with O’Connell going big. Cam Reddish is averaging 14.6 ppg, but he only had five points in the win over Syracuse after going for 27 in the loss to North Carolina.

In their last game Virginia Tech was on the road beating Notre Dame 67-59. They shot the ball poorly (35.5%), but their great defense was on display holding the Fighting Irish to 32.8% shooting. Only two players for Tech went for double digits in Kerry Blackshear Jr. going for a double-double with 22 points and 14 rebounds and Nickeil Alexander-Walker, who had 12 points, but was only 2/8 from the floor.

Alexander-Walker (16.5 ppg) and Blackshear Jr. (14.6 ppg) are the two leading scorers for the Hokies on the season. Alexander-Walker is the team leader and he has to play better than his last three games where he has averaged 10.7 ppg and gone 8/27 from the floor.

Duke Blue Devils betting trends

• 4-1 ATS in their last five road games
• 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS win
• Under record of 5-1-1 in their last seven road games

Take advantage of these betting trends with the best online bookies

Virginia tech Hokies betting trends

• 1-5 ATS in their last six home games
• 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games
• Over record of 6-1 in their last seven home games

Duke Blue Devils vs. Virginia Tech Hokies betting prediction

Even without Williamson, the Blue Devils are stacked and we just have to go with them.

This is especially the case since they face a Virginia Tech team that has failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games.

Duke showed heart in their big win over Syracuse without Zion and they will put it together in this game, winning and covering the spread.

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