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Michigan vs. Minnesota odds & analysis – NCAA calculations & free tips

Michigan v Minnesota

Michigan v Minnesota

Betting Line: -4.5
Over/Under: 133 at Bovada

Michigan, the seventh ranked team in the nation, will hit the road to face a dangerous Minnesota team that snapped a losing streak in their last game and really needs a big win to announce themselves as a NCAA Tournament threat.

Michigan has won two of their last three games and they are ranked in the top 10, but with their losses they give Minnesota hope. All three of the Wolverines’ losses have come on the road and on top of that, all three came facing unranked teams. In the game before their last one they lost to a Penn State team that is in the basement of the Big 10.

The Wolverines are tied with Michigan State and Purdue atop the Big 10 and they are led by a defense that ranks third in the nation only giving up an average of 57.6 ppg.




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Minnesota snapped their four-game losing streak in their last game and this game is HUGE for them. Not only would a win put them at .500 in Big 10 play, but as win over a top 10 team would look great on their NCAA Tourney resume. The Golden Gophers are 2-5 facing top 25 teams this season and in their recent four-game losing streak they faced three ranked teams.

This season Minnesota is 13-2 at home and Michigan is 5-3 on the road.

This season Michigan is 14-12 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 9-16 and Minnesota is at 13-13 ATS with an Over/Under record of 12-13-1.

Earlier this season at Michigan the Wolverines beat the Golden Gophers 59-57.

Michigan is 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games at Minnesota.

Michigan got over their loss to Penn State in their last game beating a ranked Maryland team 65-52. The Wolverines did not have the best shooting game, but they held the Terrapins to a FG% of 36.4% and they forced 16 turnovers while only committing six. Charles Mathews led three players for Michigan who went for double figures in the game with 14 points and Ignas Brazdeikis went for 13 points, but was only 4/11 from the floor.

Brazdeikis (14.5 ppg) and Matthews (13.2 ppg) are the two leading scorers for Michigan on the season. Brazdeikis had only totaled eight points in two games before going for 13 in the last one and Matthews had gone for 42 points in two games before leading his team with 14 in the win over Maryland.

After only averaging 57.5 ppg in losing four in a row Minnesota got back on track in their last game beating Indiana 84-63. They played well on both sides of the floor shooting 48.3% from the field while holding the Hoosiers to 37.7% shooting. Four of five starters for the Golden Gophers went for double figures led by Jordan Murphy, who had a double-double with 23 points and 11 rebounds and Gabe Kalscheur had 20 points.

Amir Coffee leads Minnesota averaging 15.3 ppg and after only going for 12 points in two games he has totaled 29 points in his last two. Murphy ranks second on the team at 15 ppg and is also averaging 11.9 rpg and in his last two games he has totaled 42 points and 24 rebounds.

In the 59-57 Michigan win against Minnesota at home earlier this season the Golden Gophers had a better FG% (40.4% to 33.9%), but they had 16 turnovers and only forced six.

Michigan Wolverines betting trends

  • 5-2 ATS in their last seven games
  • 17-7 ATS in their last 24 road games
  • Under record of 7-2 in their last nine games

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Minnesota Golden Gophers betting trends

  • 6-2 ATS in their last eight games
  • 56-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a win
  • Under record of 4-1 in their last five games

Michigan Wolverines vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers betting predictions

Just like the first game between these teams, this will be a close and low-scoring defensive battle.

Much like their last battle we are tipping Minnesota to cover the spread, but they may not get the win.

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