Mississippi State vs. Kentucky NCAA betting analysis, form & free tips
#22 Mississippi State (14-4) vs. #8 Kentucky (14-3)– 7:00 PM EST, Tuesday, January 22 at Rupp Arena Lexington, KY
Betting Line: Kentucky 6.5
Over/Under: 144.5 at Bovada
AFTER rebounding from a two-game dip with a convincing victory, Mississippi State will look to make a mark in the NCAA when it comes up against the eighth-ranked Kentucky on Tuesday night.
MSU won their last game with their strong defence contributing to what had previously been an average offence. This is MSU’s first game of the season facing a top 25 team this season and will need a win to gain legitimacy across the country.
Kentucky has won four in a row and seven of its last eight games. They are at 4-1 in SEC play trailing top-ranked Tennessee and LSU, who are both unbeaten in conference play. They are coming off a hard-fought two-point road win over a ranked Auburn team in their last game and MSU’s defense has a tall task facing the Wildcats, who are averaging just over 80 ppg. Kentucky has won two of their three games facing ranked teams in the season with the one loss coming in their season opener facing Kansas.
This season Kentucky is 10-0 at home and the Mississippi State is 2-1 on the road.
This season Mississippi State is 8-9 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 8-9 and Kentucky is at 8-9 ATS with an Over/Under record of 8-9.
This is the first game between these teams this season and last season in the lone matchup, which was at Kentucky, the Wildcats beat the Bulldogs 78-65.
Mississippi State is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games facing Kentucky.
In their last game Mississippi State was on the road winning their 2nd in a row beating Vanderbilt 71-55. They played solid defense in the game holding Vandy to 36.7% shooting and forcing 14 turnovers while they shot 45.8% from the floor. Only three players for the Bulldogs went for double figures led by Quinndary Weatherspoon with 17 points, and he also had eight rebounds, Aric Holman was one rebound short of a double-double with 10 points and nine rebounds, and Tyson Carter came off the bench to go for 10 points.
Weatherspoon is averaging 16.6 ppg to lead MSU on the season and the team has four players averaging over four ppg. Lamar Peters ranks 2nd on the team averaging 13.4 ppg and while he had gone for at least 15 points in three straight games he only had seven points in the win over Vandy.
Kentucky was on the road in their last game beating 14th ranked Auburn 82-80 where they almost blew a 17-point lead. They shot a solid 54.2% from the floor with Auburn shooting 46.4%. Keldon Johnson and Tuler Herro led the Wildcats with each going for 20 points and fellow starters Reid Travis and PJ Washington combined for 30 points and each had seven rebounds.
Johnson leads four UK players averaging in double figures at 14.9 ppg and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
he went scoreless in his previous game, which was his worst of the season. The Wildcats are a deeper and more athletic team and MSU will need to slow the pace of the game to get the win in the Bluegrass State.
Mississippi State betting trends
- 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games
- 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine SEC games
- Over record of 4-1 in their last five games
Take advantage of these betting trends with the best online bookies
Kentucky betting trends
- 9-4 ATS in their last 13 SEC games
- 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after an ATS win
- Under record of 5-2 in their last seven home games
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcats betting prediction
Kentucky is unbeaten at home and ranked in the top 10 in the nation. They will get it done on their home floor in this game.
They will run all over the Bulldogs in this game and move to 5-1 in SEC play with the win and cover the spread.
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