MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees

Overview

The Detroit Tigers continue their four game series with the New York Yankees today at Yankee Stadium in New York. The Yankees won game 1 of the series while the Tigers won game 2 off a Alex Avila homerun in the 12th inning for the 4-3 win. The Tigers have won 8 of the last 12 meetings overall versus the Yankees and 8 of the last 14 in New York.

Head to Head trends

Tigers are 0-6 in Verlanders last 6 road starts vs. Yankees.
Over is 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 road starts vs. Yankees.

New York Yankees (+104)

The new York Yankees are 3rd in the American League East 6 games back of the Baltimore Orioles. The Yankees are 4 games over .500 overall this season but are actually 1 game under .500 at home with a 26-27 record. At home the Yankees average 3.58 runs per game on offense and allow 4.26 runs per game on defense so with number like that they’re lucky to have as good a record as they do at home. On the hill for the Yankees today is recent pickup Chris Capuano who is 0-1 in his 2 starts with the Yankees. Before the Yankees picked him up he pitched 44 innings out the bullpen for the Sox with a 4.50 ERA.

New York Yankees Trends

Yankees are 5-16 in their last 21 games as a home underdog.
Yankees are 40-19 in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

5Dimes offers the lowest baseball odds

Detroit Tigers (-114)

The Detroit Tigers are 1st in the American League Central 4.5 games up on the 2nd place Kansas City Royals. The Tigers are one of the top offensive teams in baseball averaging 4.68 runs per game. Their starting pitching is solid but their bullpen can use a little work as opponents are hitting .271 and averaging 4.48 runs per 9 innings off the Tigers bullpen this season. Starting for the Tigers is Justin Verlander who is 10-9 with a 4.66 ERA. Verlander started out the season ok but had a 7 start stretch from the middle of May to the middle of June where he went 2-5 and had an ERA close to 9. Verlander looks to be pitching pretty good again with 6 of his last 8 starts being quality starts.

Detroit Tiger Trends

Tigers are 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts as a favorite.
Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Tigers are 31-15 in their last 46 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Conclusion

I like Verlander and the Tigers to beat the Yankees today. The Tigers are the better team in general and Verlander looks to have his shit together again and I think -114 is a good price so the Tigers look like a real solid all around bet.

Free Pick: Detroit Tigers -114