MLB Pick: San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers

Overview

The San Diego Padres are in LA for the final game of their three game series with division rivals the LA Dodgers. The Dodgers won the first game of the series 8-6 and the Padres took the second game 4-1. The Dodgers have played well against the Padres this season winning 8 of the 12 meetings. The Dodgers have also played well against the Padres in LA over the past few seasons winning 9 of the last 12 meetings.

Head to Head Trends

Padres are 5-15 in the last 20 meetings.
Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings.

LA Dodgers (-163)

The LA Dodgers are 1st in the National League West 3 games clear of the San Francisco Giants. The Dodgers are 14 games over .500 with a 71-57 record but they are just .500 at home this season with 31 wins and 31 losses. The Dodgers average 4.08 runs per game on offense and allow 3.70 runs per game on defense. Starting for the Dodgers today is lefty Clayton Kershaw who is having another outstanding season with a 14-3 record and a tiny 1.86 ERA. Kershaw has been money in the bank this season. If you had bet $100 on everyone of Kershaw’s starts you would have went 16-4 with a $882 profit.

LA Dodgers Trends

Dodgers are 8-0 in Kershaws last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
Dodgers are 37-18 in Kershaws last 55 home starts.
Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. National League West.

San Diego Padres (+153)

The San Diego Padres are 3rd in the National League West 10.5 games back of the LA Dodgers. The Padres seem to have picked up their play over the past month or so especially with the bats because at one point this season it looked like they were going to put up some of the worst offensive numbers baseball has seen in a long time. The Padres are now hitting .224 as a team and averaging 3.34 runs per game on offense which is still dead last in the Majors but it’s a lot better then they were doing. On the hill for the Padres today is Tyson Ross who is 11-11 with a 2.70 ERA in his 26 starts this season.

San Diego Padres Trends

Padres are 2-5 in Ross’ last 7 road starts.
Padres are 14-43 in their last 57 games as an underdog of +201 or greater.

Conclusion

I like the LA Dodgers in this one. The Padres are playing better of late but they still suck especially on the road where they are just 25-39 and with Kershaw on the mound they will probably find it difficult to put anything together on offense today.

Free Pick: LA Dodgers -163