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NFL win totals betting picks & best futures odds for 2022-23

NFL football tips

Training camp has just about started for most NFL teams and we are quickly approaching kick off for the 2022-2023 football season. At this point, there shouldn’t be any franchise altering trades, and while there will be cuts after training camp, NFL bettors have a pretty good idea of what the rosters will be. With that being said, we can find some value bets in projected win totals. Let’s get into our best bets for the upcoming season.


Cincinnati Bengals – under 10 wins

The Bengals are the reigning AFC champions and are coming off of an insane postseason run. Their quarterback, Joe Burrow, led them to a bunch of comeback wins and everyone thinks the Bengals are now one of the best teams in the NFL. They went 10-7 last year and now have their win total set at 10 wins. Considering their roster, the Bengals overachieved last year, and while Burrow is an elite quarterback, Cincinnati should struggle more in this coming season. They play in a tough division that features the Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns, so it will be hard for them to win more than 10 games. At this point, the under on the Bengals has a lot of value as they should take a step back in this coming season.

Bengals U/10 wins

-125
@
Bovada

Denver Broncos – under 10 wins

The Broncos are projected to be one of the most improved teams this year due to their trade for quarterback Russell Wilson. While he is unequivocally an improvement at the position, it will take more than just Wilson for the Broncos to win more than 10 games. They went 7-10 last year and they are rebuilding their defense. The Broncos should be a better team, but they, like the Bengals, play in a tough division where it will be difficult to stack wins. Both the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers are in the division with Denver, and based off the rosters, they are in a better spot than the Broncos. While the trade for Russ was huge, online sportsbooks may be overrating his arrival. The under is very appealing in this spot.

Broncos U/10 wins

+100
@
Bovada

Kansas City Chiefs – over 10.5 wins

For some reason, NFL bettors are down on the Chiefs this year. While they have lost superstar wide receiver Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs have replaced him with a plethora of good receivers. Other than that, the Chiefs have not lost any big players and are returning much the same roster that went 12-5 last year. The Chiefs have the best QB in the NFL in Patrick Mahomes, and through his four years starting, they have never won less than 12 games. While he will be without Hill, Mahomes should be just fine. The Chiefs have been consistently great in the regular season and are discounted coming into this season. While 11 wins is a lot, the Chiefs simply win in the regular season. As long as Mahomes stays healthy, the Chiefs should once again be one of the best teams in the NFL. Kansas City should easily cover this win total.

Chiefs O/10.5 wins

-114.94
@
Bovada

Pittsburgh Steelers – over 7.5 wins

Since Mike Tomlin came to Pittsburgh in 2007, the Steelers have never had a losing season. They are the pinnacle of consistency, and however many problems hit them, the Steelers always seem to figure it out and finish with a respectable record. Of course, Pittsburgh are rebuilding after Ben Roethlisberger retired, but they still have a great defense and should be a good team. ‘Big Ben’ was a shell of his former self in the past couple of seasons and the Steelers still finished with a winning record, so all credit must go to the coaching staff. Sportsbooks are expecting the Steelers to falter without their longtime QB, but we just don’t see that happening. Take the Steelers to win over seven games, and watch them figure it out – like they have in so many previous seasons.

Steelers O/7 wins

-125
@
Bovada

San Francisco 49ers – under 10 wins

The 49ers have been one of the best teams in the NFL over the past couple of seasons and have made the NFC Championship Game in two of the past three seasons. However, this season they are going to start 2020 third overall pick Trey Lance at QB instead of Jimmy Garoppolo. Lance didn’t look too inspiring in his limited moments throughout last year, and it’s been reported that Niners coaches aren’t happy with his progress during this training camp period. Lance could be a good NFL quarterback, but it won’t happen this season and the Niners should take a step back as a result. They also play in a division with the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals, and both of those teams should be better this season. Take the Niners under 10 wins as they transition to a new QB who should struggle in his first long-term stint as a starter.

49ers U/10 wins

-120.48
@
Bovada

Arizona Cardinals – over 8.5 wins

In each of the Cardinals’ three seasons with Kyler Murray, they have hit the over on their win total. That culminated in an 11-6 record last season, and, for some reason, the football betting markets are suggesting they will regress. That makes no sense as the Cardinals have not lost any key players from last year’s team. In the past season, they were a Super Bowl favorite after starting 7-0, but they stumbled down the stretch. That has left NFL bettors with a bad taste in their mouths and has drastically deflated Arizona’s win total in this coming season. The Cardinals may not be an elite team, but they should cover this line and have another strong season. With Murray back to shredding defenses, don’t be surprised if the Cards emerge as a genuine title contender.

Cardinals O/8.5 wins

-105.26
@
Bovada

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