2025 Dutch MotoGP betting tips & odds for Assen

MotoGP returns to the legendary TT Circuit Assen this weekend for the 2025 Motul Grand Prix of the Netherlands, with a full race schedule including a Saturday sprint and Sunday’s main event. It’s Round 10 of the championship, and with title fights heating up, the pressure is on across the entire paddock.

The sprint race is scheduled for Saturday, June 28, at 3pm CEST, while the Grand Prix itself goes green on Sunday, June 29, at 2pm.

Assen — affectionately known as ‘The Cathedral of Speed’ — is a fast, flowing 4.5km circuit packed with technical sweepers, elevation changes, and a high-speed final sector that demands precision.

With dry weather expected and plenty of overtaking opportunities at Ramshoek and the Geert Timmer chicane, both races are set to deliver.

Marc Márquez leads the standings heading into the weekend and returns to a track where he’s enjoyed success, while Francesco Bagnaia, Álex Márquez, and Pedro Acosta are all within striking distance.

The championship leader, who has been virtually unbeatable all season, unsurprisingly enters as the favourite at -263.16 with leading sportsbooks. His dominant form and consistency make him the rider to beat once again.

2025 Dutch MotoGP race winner odds

• Marc Márquez (ESP-Ducati) – -263.16
• Francesco Bagnaia (ITA-Ducati) – +325
• Álex Márquez (ESP-Ducati) – +480
• Fabio Di Giannantonio (ITA-Ducati) – +2000
• Fabio Quartararo (FRA-Yamaha) – +2800
• Marco Bezzecchi (ITA-Aprilia) – +2800
• Maverick Viñales (ESP-KTM) – +2800
• Pedro Acosta (ESP-KTM) – +5000
• Franco Morbidelli (ITA-Ducati) – +6600
• Johann Zarco (FRA-Honda) – +6600
• Fermín Aldeguer (ESP-Ducati) – +8000
• Jack Miller (AUS-Yamaha) – +8000
• Brad Binder (RSA-KTM) – +10000
• Ai Ogura (JPN-Aprilia) – +25000
• Raúl Fernández (ESP-Aprilia) – +25000
• Álex Rins (ESP-Yamaha) – +45000
• Enea Bastianini (ITA-KTM) – +45000
• Joan Mir (ESP-Honda) – +45000
• Miguel Oliveira (POR-Yamaha) – +65000
• Any rider not listed – +90000
• Lorenzo Savadori (ITA-Aprilia) – +100000
• Luca Marini (ITA-Honda) – +100000
• Somkiat Chantra (THA-Honda) – +100000

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Dutch MotoGP betting tips

Álex Márquez to win
He’s been ultra-consistent in 2025, and Assen’s smooth rhythm suits his flowing riding style. Starting toward the front should keep him in the tow down the straights — and at +480, he’s a value-packed alternative to the heavy favourite.

Francesco Bagnaia to win
‘Pecco’ has served up mixed results at Assen, but when the grip’s high and conditions are steady, he thrives. Expect him to play the long game in the main race and push late. At +325, it’s a strong pick for Sunday.

Pedro Acosta to win
Acosta will likely start further back, but his bravery through high-speed sections and quick change of direction could be rewarded. At +5000, he’s too talented to ignore in a chaotic race with safety cars or action.

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