2025 Hollywood Casino 400 NASCAR betting picks & odds

The NASCAR Cup Series heads back to Kansas Speedway for the second race of the Round of 12 in the playoffs. This 1.5-mile tri-oval has been a playoff staple and often mirrors Las Vegas and Charlotte in setup. With just two races left before the field is cut to the Round of 8, every point matters on Sunday at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Kansas has produced unpredictable drama in recent years: Ross Chastain, Tyler Reddick, and Bubba Wallace are the last three fall winners here. The leading sports betting sites list Kyle Larson as the favorite after his spring race win and multiple Kansas victories, while Denny Hamlin has also excelled at the 1.5-mile layout with three prior wins. Drivers below the cutoff — Chastain, Reddick, Cindric, and Wallace — need a big day to stay alive in the championship hunt.

This weekend’s race also puts a spotlight on how teams have evolved their intermediate-track setups since the spring. Hendrick Motorsports has flexed muscle on the 1.5-mile ovals, but Joe Gibbs Racing has been closing the gap, with Christopher Bell and Denny Hamlin both showing elite speed on similar layouts. Meanwhile, playoff outsiders like Alex Bowman and Ross Chastain have shown a knack for exploiting chaos at Kansas, making this one of the most volatile and bettable stops on the schedule.

NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 betting odds

• Kyle Larson – +340
• Denny Hamlin – +540
• William Byron – +675
• Ryan Blaney – +725
• Christopher Bell – +900
• Tyler Reddick – +1000
• Chase Briscoe – +1500
• Chase Elliott – +1600
• Ross Chastain – +2000
• Joey Logano – +2500
• Bubba Wallace – +2500
• Brad Keselowski – +3000
• Chris Buescher – +3000
• Alex Bowman – +3000
• Ty Gibbs – +3000
• Carson Hocevar – +4000
• Josh Berry – +4000
• Austin Cindric – +8000
• Ryan Preece – +10000
• Kyle Busch – +10000
• Erik Jones – +25000
• John H. Nemechek – +35000
• Shane van Gisbergen – +40000
• JJ Yeley – +50000
• Cody Ware – +50000
• Ty Dillon – +50000
• Cole Custer – +50000
• Riley Herbst – +50000
• Todd Gilliland – +50000
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr – +50000
• Justin Haley – +50000
• AJ Allmendinger – +50000
• Austin Dillon – +50000
• Zane Smith – +50000
• Noah Gragson – +50000
• Daniel Suarez – +50000
• Michael McDowell – +50000

More odds available at BetOnline

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NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 betting predictions

Kyle Larson to win

Larson already owns three Kansas victories since 2022 and won the spring race here earlier this season. His Hendrick Motorsports No. 5 Chevrolet consistently shows race-winning speed at 1.5-mile tracks, and he’s been knocking on the door with steady top-10s through the playoffs. At +340 with BetOnline, Larson is a justifiable favorite to punch his ticket to the Round of 8.

Christopher Bell top-three finish

Bell has quietly strung together three straight top-10s in the playoffs and finished second at Kansas earlier this season. Joe Gibbs Racing has dialled in its intermediate-track setups, giving Bell a car capable of running up front again. At +235 with BetOnline, a top-3 ticket offers solid mid-tier value for Sunday’s race.

Alex Bowman top-10 finish

Despite an up-and-down 2025, Bowman has been a model of consistency at Kansas. He’s finished inside the top 10 in all six of his Gen-7 starts at the track and also has strong numbers at sister tracks like Las Vegas. At -102.04 with BetOnline, Bowman offers value to keep that streak alive on Sunday.