2025 Mobil 1 301 betting picks & NASCAR predictions

The Round of 12 opens Sunday with the Mobil 1 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, the first playoff race ever held at “The Magic Mile.” With only seven races left in the 2025 NASCAR season, the stakes couldn’t be higher as drivers tackle the 1.058-mile flat oval’s long straights and tight corners at 2:00 p.m. ET.

Christopher Bell comes in hot after snapping a six-month winless streak at Bristol to notch his fourth win of the season and is the current betting favorite with the top sports betting sites. He’s the defending Loudon winner and has two victories here in the last three years. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated the playoffs so far, sweeping the Round of 16, while Zane Smith and Josh Berry headline the underdog storylines heading into this weekend.

This short-flat layout has traditionally rewarded drivers who excel at Phoenix, Richmond, and Gateway. Expect strategy plays, tire conservation, and the occasional bump-and-run as the field fights for every point.

NASCAR Mobil 1 301 betting odds

• Christopher Bell – +300
• Denny Hamlin – +400
• Chase Briscoe – +520
• Ryan Blaney – +625
• Kyle Larson – +750
• Joey Logano – +1100
• William Byron – +1500
• Chase Elliott – +1600
• Tyler Reddick – +2800
• Bubba Wallace – +3300
• Brad Keselowski – +4000
• Chris Buescher – +5000
• Josh Berry – +5000
• Ty Gibbs – +5000
• Austin Cindric – +6600
• Ross Chastain – +6600
• Alex Bowman – +8000
• Austin Dillon – +10000
• Carson Hocevar – +10000
• Ryan Preece – +10000
• Kyle Busch – +10000
• John H. Nemechek – +10000
• Cody Ware – +35000
• Riley Herbst – +50000
• Ty Dillon – +50000
• Shane van Gisbergen – +50000
• Cole Custer – +50000
• Zane Smith – +50000
• Todd Gilliland – +50000
• Erik Jones – +50000
• Daniel Suarez – +50000
• Justin Haley – +50000
• AJ Allmendinger – +50000
• Michael McDowell – +50000
• Noah Gragson – +50000
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr – +50000

More odds available at BetOnline

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NASCAR Mobil 1 301 betting predictions

Kyle Larson to win

Larson may have stumbled with a P32 at Bristol, but Loudon fits his wheelhouse. He’s posted two top-five finishes in his last three starts at New Hampshire and was one of the fastest in practice on comparable short-flat tracks this season. At +750 odds with BetOnline, there’s value in Larson bouncing back with a statement win to start the Round of 12.

Chase Briscoe top-three finish

Briscoe opened the playoffs strong and has a solid record at The Magic Mile with one top-five and two top-10s in his last three trips. Joe Gibbs Racing’s flat-track setups have been on point, and Briscoe should again be in the mix up front. A top-three ticket at +220 odds with BetOnline gives solid mid-tier value.

Josh Berry top-10 finish

Berry’s playoff run was a disaster, but his underlying numbers at short-flat tracks tell a different story: five of his 12 career Cup top-10s have come on similar layouts, including a P3 at Loudon last year and a P4 at Phoenix this spring. The +180 price with BetOnline looks like value for a top-10 finish.