Get odds, value bets, top props, and fight analysis for Saturday’s massive card in Las Vegas.
Get odds, value bets, top props, and fight analysis for Saturday’s massive card in Las Vegas.
Boxing’s biggest fight of the year lands in Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, as undisputed super middleweight champion Saúl ‘Canelo’ Álvarez faces pound-for-pound great Terence ‘Bud’ Crawford on Saturday, September 13, streaming worldwide on Netflix. Two generational talents, all four belts, and reputations on the line — his is a legacy clash at 168lbs.
Here’s your full breakdown of the Canelo vs Crawford card, with fighter insights, betting picks, and the best odds from top sportsbooks.
Canelo Alvarez defends his throne with economy and menace. The champion’s tight guard, subtle head movement, and right-hand counters set traps that opponents only notice after the body shots have begun to add up. He is most dangerous when he’s dictating geography, walking foes to the ropes, and making every exchange feel expensive.
Terence Crawford arrives with cold timing and a mean streak that flips fights in an instant. The switch-hitter’s reads are elite; he shapes a bout with feints, then punishes overreaches with razor counters. The step up to a true super middleweight is the puzzle; if he keeps the feet clean and refuses the corners, his speed and accuracy can tilt rounds late.
Callum Walsh applies southpaw pressure with a stiff jab, quick resets, and an engine that doesn’t sag. He breaks rhythm by stepping around the lead shoulder and finishing to the body before opponents can clinch or spin out.
Fernando Vargas Jr brings clean counters and real pop when he gets set. He’s most dangerous in the pocket after slipping the first shot, but he’ll need to deny Walsh the steady forward march and keep the exchanges in the center to find his best moments.
Christian Mbilli fights like a tide coming in: high guard, heavy hands, and merciless body-head blends that wear opponents to the shoreline. He’s comfortable taking small bites early and turning the screws as legs fade.
Lester Martinez is an explosive starter with the kind of counters that change plans. He throws with intent and can back Mbilli up in spots, but he must manage pace and avoid getting trapped in exchanges that turn into attrition.
Mohammed Alakel keeps his shape, picks the right shots, and controls tempo behind quick, tidy entries. When he establishes jab-lead rhythm early, opponents end up reacting on his schedule and giving him the looks he wants.
John Ornelas is rugged and persistent, happy to make it scrappy and test composure in the pocket. He crowds well, leans on the body, and forces second and third exchanges where timing frays — exactly the kind of chaos that can tilt close rounds.
Serhii Bohachuk is a long, purposeful puncher who advances behind a busy jab and steady pressure. He wins territory, stacks volume, and turns clean rounds into heavy ones once the right hand starts landing.
Brandon Adams is compact and crafty, slipping the first shot and rolling into short, snappy counters. He’s tough in the mid-rounds, can disrupt pressure with body work, and has the tools to make this a grind if he dents Bohachuk early.
Ivan Dychko uses height and length the old-fashioned way: stiff jab, straight right, and early claims on range. If he keeps this tall and tidy, he limits exchanges and controls the pace.
Jermaine Franklin Jr brings miles in the legs and calm in the chaos. He soaks up shots better than most, works well at mid-range, and has a knack for winning the scrappy moments that judges remember in close rounds.
Reito Tsutsumi is sharp and economical, punishing loose entries and rarely giving second looks. He manages distance with small steps, keeps his base under him, and prefers clean, single-shot accuracy over messy trades.
Javier Martinez is gritty and persistent, happiest when the fight turns scrappy. He crowds well, leans on the body, and forces second and third exchanges where timing can fray. In a six-rounder, that pressure and willingness to bite down make him a live underdog.
Steven Nelson is sturdy and well schooled, picking counters from a tight guard and staying balanced through longer exchanges. He does his best work center-ring, where he can see everything.
Raiko Santana brings aggression and will try to turn this into surges of volume, especially late. If he can collapse the pocket without eating the check hook, he can make rounds swingy — but Nelson’s composure is a real factor.