Caves Valley hosts the 2025 BMW Championship as the FedExCup Playoffs continue. We break down the latest odds and top betting tips for this week’s action.
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BMW Championship 2025 betting tips & value predictions
The 2025 FedExCup Playoffs continue with the BMW Championship at Caves Valley Golf Club in Owings Mills, Maryland, kicking off this Thursday. The top 49 players in the FedExCup standings will compete for 2,000 points and a share of the US$20 million purse, with only the top 30 advancing to next week’s PGA Tour Championship at East Lake.
Caves Valley returns to the PGA Tour for the first time since 2021, when Patrick Cantlay downed Bryson DeChambeau in a playoff after the pair shot 27-under. This year, however, the course presents a much tougher test.
The par-70 layout now stretches to 7,601 yards after significant renovations, with two par-fives converted to long par-fours, tightened Bentgrass fairways, and hazard-protected pin positions. The setup strongly favors long hitters and those dialed in with long irons.
World No.1 Scottie Scheffler enters as the +150 favorite with the top online sportsbooks, albeit without his regular caddie. Rory McIlroy returns fresh after skipping Memphis and chases his third BMW title, while Ludvig Åberg, Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Kurt Kitayama round out a stacked field in strong form.
Course snapshot: Caves Valley Golf Club
Location: Owings Mills, Maryland
Par/Yardage: Par 70 / 7,601 yards
Architect: Tom Fazio (major renovation 2024–25)
Key features:
- Converted par-fives create the fourth-longest course on tour
- Bentgrass greens and narrowed fairways
- Three par-threes play over 220 yards
- Six par-fours over 460 yards, mixed with three drivable ones
- Designed for bombers and elite long-iron players
- Previously hosted BMW in 2021 (winning score -27)
2025 BMW Championship betting odds
- Scottie Scheffler – +230
- Rory McIlroy – +800
- Patrick Cantlay – +1800
- Xander Schauffele – +1800
- Ludvig Aberg – +2000
- Tommy Fleetwood – +2000
- Cameron Young – +2500
- Justin Thomas – +2500
- Russell Henley – +2800
- Hideki Matsuyama – +3000
- J.J. Spaun – +3000
- Ben Griffin – +3300
- Collin Morikawa – +3300
- Justin Rose – +3300
- Sam Burns – +3300
- Viktor Hovland – +3300
- Akshay Bhatia – +4000
- Chris Gotterup – +4000
- Kurt Kitayama – +4000
- Matt Fitzpatrick – +4000
- Corey Conners – +5000
- Harris English – +5000
- Harry Hall – +5000
- Keegan Bradley – +5000
- Maverick McNealy – +5000
- Rickie Fowler – +5000
- Robert MacIntyre – +5000
- Si Woo Kim – +5000
- Sungjae Im – +5000
More odds available at BetOnline
BMW Championship 2025 betting predictions
Cameron Young to win
Young has hit form at the perfect time, claiming his maiden PGA Tour win at Wyndham and following up with a T5 finish at Southwind. He ranks first in shots gained from the tee over the past two events and thrives on long setups like Caves Valley. Add in a Ryder Cup berth on the line and odds of +2500 with BetOnline look like strong value.
Cameron Young to win
Matt Fitzpatrick top-10 finish
Fitzpatrick is quietly having one of the best stretches of his career. He notched four top-10s in five starts before a rare off-week in Memphis and has shown he thrives on long, championship-style layouts like Caves Valley. In a motivated spot to reach East Lake, he looks a strong top-10 play at +250 odds with BetOnline.
Matt Fitzpatrick top-10 finish
Kurt Kitayama top-20 finish
Kitayama has been flying under the radar with a strong recent run that includes four top-20 finishes from his last five starts. He’s striking the ball with confidence, and in a limited field with no cut, he looks to be the safe bet of the day at -109.89 odds with BetOnline for another top-20 finish.
Kurt Kitayama top-20 finish
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