Bommarito 500 2025 betting preview, free picks & odds

The IndyCar Series returns to the Midwest this Sunday night for the Bommarito Automotive Group 500 at World Wide Technology Raceway — a 260-lap sprint under the lights at one of the series’ most technical ovals. For the first time ever, this race is scheduled as a Sunday night feature, adding new strategy wrinkles to a track that already demands patience, precision, and perfect timing. Coverage begins at 8 p.m. EDT, with practice and qualifying running all weekend.

All eyes are on Josef Newgarden, who has owned this track with five career wins and over 599 laps led — more than any other driver at WWTR. After a quiet start to the season, Newgarden’s mastery on short ovals and Team Penske’s pedigree make him a deserved favorite at +250 odds with the top online sportbooks. Meanwhile, Alex Palou arrives fresh off his fifth win of the year, including the Indy 500, and continues to chase the all-time single-season wins record held by A.J. Foyt and Al Unser.

There are storylines everywhere: Scott Dixon will make his 410th career start, while Graham Rahal hits his 300th. Three rookies — Jacob Abel, Louis Foster, and Robert Shwartzman — will debut at the 1.25-mile oval. And for the first time in 2025, IndyCar’s new hybrid power system will be fully integrated into oval strategy, offering unlimited boosts with a cap of 150 kJ per lap — a potentially decisive tool on a track where timing and momentum are everything.

Night conditions and an experimental high-line practice on Saturday could shake up the running order, especially if side-by-side racing opens up. But with just two drivers — Palou and Kirkwood — claiming wins this season, every point matters as the championship picture begins to take shape.

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2025 Bommarito Automotive Group 500 betting odds

• Josef Newgarden – +250
• Alex Palou – +350
• Scott McLaughlin – +550
• Pato O’Ward – +750
• David Malukas – +900
• Colton Herta – +1000
• Scott Dixon – +1200
• Kyle Kirkwood – +1200
• Will Power – +1200
• Christian Lundgaard – +2000
• Felix Rosenqvist – +2500
• Marcus Ericsson – +2500
• Santino Ferrucci – +3000
• Alexander Rossi – +3000
• Marcus Armstrong – +5000
• Conor Daly – +5000
• Graham Rahal – +6600
• Rinus Veekay – +6600
• Robert Shwartzman – +8000
• Callum Ilott – +10000
• Nolan Siegel – +12500
• Christian Rasmussen – +15000
• Louis Foster – +15000
• Devlin Defrancesco – +15000
• Jacob Abel – +20000
• Kyffin Simpson – +20000
• Sting Ray Robb – +20000

More odds available at Stake.com

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Bommarito Automotive Group 500 betting predictions

Josef Newgarden win

Josef Newgarden is the king of Gateway, with five career wins at WWTR and nearly 600 laps led. He’s been quiet this season, but this is the exact type of oval where he reasserts dominance — fast, tight, and tactical. At +250 with Stake.com, he’s short for a reason: this is his backyard, and he knows how to win here when it matters most.

Scott Dixon podium finish

The Iceman (Scott Dixon) enters his 410th start with a pair of Gateway wins (2020, 2023) and unmatched race management on ovals. With hybrid strategy now in play and cooler night temps expected, Dixon’s ability to stretch stints and pounce late could be a game-changer. Backing the six-time champ for a top-three is a smart play at +325 with 888starz.

David Malukas points finish

David Malukas might not have a win yet, but his short-oval resume is quietly strong — including a P3 here in 2022 and solid showings all season. He’s familiar with WWTR’s rhythm and has shown solid pace in traffic, which will be crucial in a 260-lap pack race. At +160, you’re getting great value with 888starz, on a driver who consistently punches above his weight on ovals.