Max Verstappen heads Norris and Piastri at Monza. Get odds, predictions and value angles before lights out on September 7, 2025.
F1 Italian grand prix odds, picks & predictions post qualifying
Round 16 of the 2025 Formula 1 season brings us to the legendary Monza circuit for the Italian Grand Prix, where Max Verstappen returned to form with a flying lap to secure pole position. He will line up ahead of Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, with just 0.190 seconds covering the top three. The race begins at 3pm local time in Monza (CEST) / 11pm AEST Sunday.
Max Verstappen delivered when it mattered most at the Temple of Speed, setting a blistering 1:18.792 in Q3 to secure his first pole since early in the season. The Dutchman looked composed across all three qualifying segments and now finds himself in the best possible position to chase another Monza win.
Lando Norris starts from P2 after a strong final sector, while Oscar Piastri was just a tenth further back in P3. Both McLarens have looked fast in low-downforce trim and will be confident heading into Turn 1 — a section known for drama, especially with three contenders so close on pace.
Behind them, Charles Leclerc will start from fourth, boosted by the passionate Tifosi. The Ferrari driver has shown strong qualifying form all weekend and will be eyeing the podium — or more — at his home race.
2025 Italian Grand Prix Odds (Post-Qualifying)
After a front-row lockout from McLaren, Lando Norris leads the market with top sportsbooks for the Italian GP at Monza, with Max Verstappen and Oscar Piastri closely priced behind. Ferrari and Mercedes trail at longer odds.
- Lando Norris (McLaren) – +140
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull) – +150
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren) – +250
- Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) – +1800
- George Russell (Mercedes) – +4000
- Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes) – +6600
- Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari) – +10000
- Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin) – +15000
- Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber) – +15000
- Alex Albon (Williams) – +50000
More odds available at BetOnline
2025 Italian GP Betting predictions
Oscar Piastri (McLaren) to win
Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) to win
Lance Stroll (Aston Martin) points finish
Italian Grand Prix 2025 Starting Grid
| POS | NO | DRIVER | TEAM | TIME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing | 1:18.792 |
| 2 | 4 | Lando Norris | McLaren | 1:18.869 |
| 3 | 81 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren | 1:18.982 |
| 4 | 16 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari | 1:19.007 |
| 5 | 63 | George Russell | Mercedes | 1:19.157 |
| 6 | 12 | Kimi Antonelli | Mercedes | 1:19.200 |
| 7 | 44 | Lewis Hamilton | Ferrari | 1:19.124* |
| 8 | 5 | Gabriel Bortoleto | Kick Sauber | 1:19.390 |
| 9 | 14 | Fernando Alonso | Aston Martin | 1:19.424 |
| 10 | 22 | Yuki Tsunoda | Red Bull Racing | 1:19.519 |
| 11 | 87 | Oliver Bearman | Haas | — |
| 12 | 27 | Nico Hulkenberg | Kick Sauber | — |
| 13 | 55 | Carlos Sainz | Williams | — |
| 14 | 23 | Alexander Albon | Williams | — |
| 15 | 31 | Esteban Ocon | Haas | — |
| 16 | 6 | Isack Hadjar | Racing Bulls | — |
| 17 | 18 | Lance Stroll | Aston Martin | — |
| 18 | 43 | Franco Colapinto | Alpine | — |
| 19 | 10 | Pierre Gasly | Alpine | — |
| 20 | 30 | Liam Lawson | Racing Bulls | — |
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