FireKeepers 400 betting predictions & 2025 race preview

The NASCAR Cup Series returns to the Irish Hills this Sunday for the 2025 FireKeepers Casino 400, with the green flag set to wave at 2pm ET at Michigan International Speedway (MIS). It’s Round 15 of the season, but more importantly, the first of three seeding races for the brand-new NASCAR In-Season Challenge.

Michigan is one of the fastest tracks on the calendar — a two-mile D-shaped oval that favors high-speed setups, smart pit calls, and drivers who know how to ride the draft and manage tire falloff across long green-flag runs. Expect speeds over 200mph down the straights and plenty of action through the wide, multi-groove corners.

Ryan Blaney snapped his winless streak last week in Nashville and returns to the site of his 2021 Michigan triumph with serious momentum.

Kyle Larson is a three-time winner here and leads the betting boards, while defending race winner Tyler Reddick is looking to go back-to-back for Toyota after snapping Ford’s long reign at MIS last year.

With just 12 races left before the playoffs, the FireKeepers 400 sets the tone for the summer stretch — and with clear skies, clean air, and full send setups expected, it’s anyone’s race, with the top online sportbooks leaving the odds wide-open.

2025 FireKeepers 400 betting odds

• Kyle Larson – +580
• Denny Hamlin – +725
• Ryan Blaney – +725
• William Byron – +900
• Tyler Reddick – +950
• Christopher Bell – +1100
• Ross Chastain – +1500
• Joey Logano – +1800
• Carson Hocevar – +2200
• Chase Elliott – +2200
• Chase Briscoe – +2200
• Chris Buescher – +2200
• Brad Keselowski – +2500
• Alex Bowman – +2500
• Bubba Wallace – +2500
• Josh Berry – +3300
• Kyle Busch – +3300
• Ty Gibbs – +4000
• Erik Jones – +5000
• Austin Cindric – +5000
• Ryan Preece – +5000
• Austin Dillon – +6600
• Zane Smith – +6600
• Noah Gragson – +6600
• AJ Allmendinger – +6600
• Michael McDowell – +6600
• Daniel Suarez – +6600
• Cody Ware – +8000
• Ty Dillon – +8000
• Riley Herbst – +8000
• Shane van Gisbergen – +8000
• Cole Custer – +8000
• Justin Haley – +8000
• Todd Gilliland – +8000
• John H. Nemechek – +8000
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr – +8000

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FireKeepers 400 betting predictions

Ryan Blaney win at Nashville proved this Penske crew is locked in and ready to roll into summer with momentum. Michigan has always been a strong track for the No.12 car — Blaney won here in 2021 and owns multiple top-10s. He’s in form, he’s confident, and at these odds, you’re getting top-tier value on a legit contender.

Joey Logano has led more laps than anyone at Michigan over the past 10 years, and he’s a three-time winner at this very track. His ability to control air and execute late-race strategy makes him a perennial threat at wide, fast ovals like MIS. Starting from mid-pack doesn’t scare us — his history here speaks for itself.

A.J. Allmendinger was running inside the top 15 here last year before a right-rear tire failure ended a promising drive. This season, he’s posted top-10s at Vegas, Charlotte, and Homestead — all solid comps for Michigan’s aero demands. At over +500 odds, this is one of the best value ladder plays on the board.

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