MotoGP Aragon Grand Prix 2025 post-qualifying betting tips & odds

Marc Márquez starts from pole at MotorLand Aragón for Sunday’s Grand Prix, and after clocking a 1:45.704 lap in qualifying, he’s now the firmest favourite of the MotoGP season to date with top online sportsbooks.. The Spanish icon leads the world championship with 208 points and returns to his most dominant circuit with a Ducati that’s humming at full capacity.

Álex Márquez will launch alongside his brother from P2 — the Gresini Ducati rider remains Marc’s closest challenger in the standings, just 27 points adrift. Franco Morbidelli impressed to complete the front row and now looks to build on his fourth-place spot on the ladder, while titleholder Francesco Bagnaia starts from fourth but sits 84 points back in the race for the crown.

The betting board reflects the stakes: Márquez is down to near-unbackable odds, while the chasers offer strong value for punters looking for an upset or a Ducati duel into Turn 1.

Updated MotoGP Aragon Grand Prix 2025 – Race winner odds (post-qualifying)

• Marc Márquez (ESP-Ducati) – -1000
• Álex Márquez (ESP-Ducati) – +450
• Francesco Bagnaia (ITA-Ducati) – +1400
• Fermín Aldeguer (ESP-Ducati) – +1800
• Franco Morbidelli (ITA-Ducati) – +3000
• Fabio Di Giannantonio (ITA-Ducati) – +3300
• Marco Bezzecchi (ITA-Aprilia) – +3300
• Pedro Acosta (ESP-KTM) – +3300
• Maverick Viñales (ESP-KTM) – +4000
• Brad Binder (RSA-KTM) – +6600
• Fabio Quartararo (FRA-Yamaha) – +10000
• Johann Zarco (FRA-Honda) – +10000
• Joan Mir (ESP-Honda) – +17500
• Álex Rins (ESP-Yamaha) – +25000
• Jack Miller (AUS-Yamaha) – +25000
• Enea Bastianini (ITA-KTM) – +65000
• Any rider not listed – +80000
• Miguel Oliveira (POR-Yamaha) – +80000
• Raúl Fernández (ESP-Aprilia) – +80000
• Lorenzo Savadori (ITA-Aprilia) – +100000
• Somkiat Chantra (THA-Honda) – +100000

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Race winner betting tips – Aragon GP

Álex Márquez to win
He’s starting on the front row. He’s just 27 points behind his brother in the standings. And he’s looked locked in all weekend. Álex has the machinery, the motivation, and the momentum — and at +450, this is top-shelf value on a rider who could take the fight to Marc into Turn 1.

Francesco Bagnaia to win
Bagnaia may be 84 points off the lead, but don’t sleep on the runner up for last years championship. Starting fourth, Pecco has the experience and tyre management skills to stay in touch with the front-runners. If the Márquez brothers go toe-to-toe too early, Bagnaia could pick up the pieces and snatch a win.

Joan Mir to win
A longshot, no doubt — but Mir has shown surprising race pace and starts just outside the top 10. The Honda isn’t the easiest to tame, but he’s a former world champion with nothing to lose. At +17500, this is a true boom-or-bust play for those chasing a miracle.

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