NASCAR Viva Mexico 250 betting predictions & 2025 race preview

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Mexico City this Sunday, June 30, for a history-making road course race at the famed Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez. It’s the first points-paying Cup Series event ever held in Mexico, and it’s generating massive buzz in the motorsport world. With 17 turns, dramatic elevation changes, and the unique challenge of 7,300 feet above sea level, the 2025 Mexico City race promises chaos, unpredictability, and fireworks — especially with a rain-affected forecast in play.

Shane van Gisbergen leads the betting markets at +340 with the top online sportsbooks, following dominant road course form, while fellow specialists Tyler Reddick, Kyle Larson, and A.J. Allmendinger hover close behind.

All eyes will also be on Mexico’s own Daniel Suárez, who gets a once-in-a-career opportunity to race in front of a home crowd.

FOX and FOX Deportes will carry the main broadcast for our US friends, with the race set to start at 3:30pm ET, with qualifying and final practice airing Saturday afternoon on FS1.

Nascar Viva Mexico 250 betting odds

• Shane van Gisbergen – +300
• Christopher Bell – +700
• William Byron – +800
• Tyler Reddick – +900
• Kyle Larson – +900
• Chase Elliott – +1400
• Kyle Busch – +1500
• AJ Allmendinger – +1500
• Chris Buescher – +1800
• Daniel Suarez – +2000
• Carson Hocevar – +2500
• Ross Chastain – +2500
• Michael McDowell – +3000
• Ty Gibbs – +3300
• Alex Bowman – +3300
• Ryan Blaney – +4000
• Denny Hamlin – +4000
• Chase Briscoe – +4000
• Austin Cindric – +4000
• Joey Logano – +5000
• Todd Gilliland – +6600
• Justin Haley – +8000
• Erik Jones – +8000
• Cole Custer – +8000
• Josh Berry – +8000
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr – +8000
• Brad Keselowski – +8000
• Noah Gragson – +8000
• Bubba Wallace – +8000
• Ryan Preece – +8000
• Zane Smith – +8000
• Katherine Legge – +10000
• Cody Ware – +10000
• Ty Dillon – +10000
• John H. Nemechek – +10000
• Austin Dillon – +10000
• Riley Herbst – +10000

More odds available at Stake.com

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Nascar Viva Mexico 250 betting predictions

Shane van Gisbergen to win

SVG is the most dominant road racer in the Cup Series and has proven it with wins at Chicago and COTA. He’s unmatched in mixed conditions and has the Supercars background to handle Mexico’s low grip and technical layout. His adaptability makes him the clear threat in a race where chaos could strike. Back the kiwi to win another race at +300 with Stake.com.

Tyler Reddick top-3 finish

Reddick has quietly been the most consistent road course performer of the season, with multiple top-five results and clean execution. He thrives in technical sectors and has elite braking feel, which Mexico’s track demands. At +250 odds, he’s great value with 888starz, to finish on the podium in a wild race.

Daniel Suárez top-5 finish

Daniel Suárez will be racing with the energy of an entire country behind him. He’s a past winner at Sonoma, knows how to manage strategy, and Trackhouse has built strong cars for road courses. With the home fans behind him, a top-five is very achievable at +250 odds with Stake.com— and it would send the grandstands into chaos.

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