India and New Zealand will battle for the top spot in Group A when they meet in Dubai this Sunday in the final group-stage match of the ICC Champions Trophy.
Both teams have already secured a place in the semi-finals, but this match holds plenty of significance as the winner will likely avoid facing South Africa or Australia in the knockout stage.
India has been dominant throughout the tournament, easing past Pakistan by six wickets before comfortably defeating Bangladesh. With a settled squad and familiarity with the Dubai conditions, Rohit Sharma’s side enters as the -222.22 favorite with top online sportsbooks.
New Zealand, captained by Mitchell Santner, has also impressed, beating Pakistan by 60 runs and chasing down Bangladesh’s total with five wickets in hand. Their bowling attack, led by Michael Bracewell and William O’Rourke, has been in excellent form, and their ability to adapt to different conditions makes them a dangerous opponent.
Dubai’s pitch has traditionally favored teams batting first, with an average first-innings score between 260 and 280. However, eight of the last ten ODIs at this venue have been won by the chasing side.
New Zeland vs India team news
New Zealand has no injury concerns but may rotate their fast bowlers to keep them fresh for the semi-finals. Matt Henry or Kyle Jamieson could be rested, with Lockie Ferguson or Ben Sears coming into the lineup.
Projected New Zealand XI: Will Young, Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Rachin Ravindra, Tom Latham (wk), Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner (c), Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, William O’Rourke.
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India could rest captain Rohit Sharma after he struggled with a hamstring issue in the last match. If he sits out, KL Rahul is expected to open alongside Shubman Gill, with Rishabh Pant moving into the middle order. Mohammed Shami is also carrying a minor injury and could be replaced by Arshdeep Singh or Mukesh Kumar.
India has won its last five ODIs against New Zealand and remains unbeaten in Dubai in its previous seven matches. With a strong spin attack and a settled batting lineup, they have the edge over a New Zealand side less familiar with the conditions. India is well-positioned to finish atop Group A at -222.22 with leading cricket betting sites.
Shubman Gill has been in outstanding form, averaging 84.28 against New Zealand in ODIs, with two centuries and two half-centuries in his last ten innings. He has passed 30 in every ODI this year, and with Dubai offering good batting conditions, he is a strong bet to convert another start into a big score at +125 with Nags.bet..
Michael Bracewell has taken five wickets in two matches, maintaining an economy of just 3.20 runs per over. With Dubai’s pitch favoring spinners later in the innings, he is well-positioned to trouble India’s middle order and pick up at least two wickets at +250 with Nags.bet.
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