NFL passing yards futures picks, best odds & predictions

We are through the first week of NFL preseason games and it’s time to get excited for football. Game one will kick off in less than a month and there are only a few weeks left to get your season-long NFL futures in.

This article will cover the best bets for who will lead the league in passing yards. Last year, Tom Brady took home the title with 5,316 passing yards, and he returns as the favorite to lead the league again this year. However, we think there are some better options on the board.

Justin Herbert – Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert checks every box and he should be in for a big season. He had 5,014 passing yards last year in his second season and finished behind only Tom Brady for the league lead. Herbert should improve in his third season and he has the weapons necessary to lead the league in yards this year. Also, he plays on a team which has a susceptible defense, and that will create high-scoring games where Herbert will need to pass in order for the Chargers to win. At +750 with Bovada, Herbert is one of the favorites, but there is a lot of value in betting on him. He should only improve on his stellar sophomore season and take another step to becoming one of the league’s best QBs.

Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs

Mahomes is the best quarterback in the game, and any other year, he would be the favorite. He threw for 4,839 yards last season in what was considered a down year by his standards. This year, the Chiefs lost one of the best receivers in the NFL in Tyreek Hill, and that is the cause for this discount on Mahomes’ futures odds. However, the Chiefs brought in a plethora of receivers to replace Hill and they should all be used to replicate Hill’s production. In turn, this could create a more balanced approach to the offense and make Mahomes even more dangerous. Don’t overthink it too much; Mahomes is an elite QB and is always a threat to throw for 5,000+ yards.

Kirk Cousins – Minnesota Vikings

Kirk Cousins is an average quarterback, yet he has been remarkably consistent. Last year, he threw for 4,221 passing yards in an offense that ran the ball at a higher rate than most teams. Now he has a new coach who was the offensive coordinator for the Los Angeles Rams last year. The Rams, unlike the Vikings, were top 10 in pass attempts throughout last season. Based on that alone, Cousins should be in contention to lead the league in passing yards. He also throws to arguably the best wide receiver in the league in Justin Jefferson, and that helps his case even more. At +1500, Cousins is a great value bet in this category. He should be in for a big season, even if he makes some bonehead throws from time to time.

Jameis Winston – New Orleans Saints

This is a longshot bet, but when you consider Winston’s history, there is a lot of value in this future. In 2019, Winston actually lead the league in passing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by throwing for 5,109 yards. Of course, he also threw 30 interceptions that season and that led to him losing his starting job. Now Winston is with the New Orleans Saints, and while they may not throw as often as that Tampa Bay team, the Saints have surrounded Winston with capable receivers. They were 30th in passing attempts last season but now have a new coach. If this new coach lets Winston air the ball out, he is definitely capable of leading the league in passing yards. A lot of things need to unfold for this bet to hit, but at around +3000 with most football betting sites, it’s worth a stab.

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