NFL Super Bowl LV – MVP betting odds & predictions

Super Bowl MVP betting preview

One of the most popular NFL betting props for every Super Bowl is on which player will win Super Bowl MVP. Patrick Mahomes won the title last season as he led the Kansas City Chiefs to a 31-20 win over the San Francisco 49ers. Mahomes is the favorite to win the prestigious award again in Super Bowl LV as the Chiefs take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The Favorites: Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady

A quarterback has won Super Bowl MVP 30 times through the first 54 Super Bowls. Considering that this game has the reigning Super Bowl MVP in Patrick Mahomes and a four-time Super Bowl MVP in Tom Brady under center, it’s a pretty solid bet that the MVP of Super Bowl LV will be the quarterback on the winning team.

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Mahomes is a human highlight reel. At just 25 years old he has already won league MVP and Super Bowl MVP. He has compiled a remarkable 24-1 record in the last 25 games that he has started. And with so many weapons on this Chiefs offense to spread the ball around to, it will be difficult for any one of them to steal his thunder in a win. Bettors that like Kansas City to win this game can’t go wrong with Mahomes at -115 to win MVP.

Bettors who like Tampa Bay to win should lean towards Brady for MVP at +240. The seasoned veteran has won the award an NFL-record four times and is the heart and soul of this Buccaneers team. Like Mahomes, Brady has so many weapons to throw to in the Tampa Bay offense that it’s less likely we’ll see something like we saw in 2019 when the heavily targeted Julian Edelman won MVP.

Mahomes’ Top Weapons: Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill

Travis Kelce has 21 catches for 227 yards and three touchdowns in two games this postseason. Tyreek Hill has 17 catches for 282 receiving yards. No other player on the Chiefs has more than six receptions.

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These players both posted monster numbers during the regular season as well. Kelce had 105 catches for 1,416 yards and 11 touchdowns, while Hill had 87 catches for 1,276 yards and 15 touchdowns. Both of these players are capable of putting up huge numbers in the Super Bowl, and in the event that Mahomes targets one of them significantly more than the other and maybe throws an interception or two, there could be some value here at +1000 and +1200.

The tricky part for value hunters is trying to decide which one of these two big targets to take a shot on.

The rest of the field

Tom Brady’s top three weapons are all priced at +3300 to win the Super Bowl in Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and Leonard Fournette. Fournette might be the best bet among the long shots if you like Tampa Bay to pull off the upset; the Buccaneers back has 48 carries for 211 rushing yards, 14 catches for 102 receiving yards and three total touchdowns so far this postseason. If the game script led to him getting a heavy workload and a couple of touchdowns, he could cash in.

Other Buccaneers in the mix include: Antonio Brown (+5000), Devin White (+5000), Jason Pierre-Paul (+6600), Rob Gronkowski (+6600), Shaquil Barrett (+6600), and Ronald Jones II (+8000).

The remaining Kansas City players with odds under +10000 are Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+5000), Mecole Hardman (+5000), Darrel Williams (+6600) and Tyrann Mathieu (+6600). Brady threw three interceptions in the NFC Championship Game; if Tyrann Mathieu records an interception or two and returns one for a touchdown, he could get into the conversation at +6600.