UFC Fight Night 176 main card betting predictions

UFC Fight Night 176 betting preview

The organizers did an excellent job compiling the UFC Fight Night 176 card. In addition to a competitive main event between Alistair Overeem and Augusto Sakai, every fight on this card has a favorite going off at -225 or less, including three favorites of -160 or less on the main card. Here’s a look at the main card matchups scheduled for this Saturday in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Light Heavyweight: Alonzo Menifield (-130) vs Ovince St Preux (+110)

Alonzo Menifield (9-1-0) was 9-0 with eight knockout wins as a professional before losing by unanimous decision to Devin Clark at UFC 250 in June. Ovince St Preux (24-14-0) has lost three of his last four fights with a submission win over Michal Oleksiejczuk last September as the only exception.

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Bettors considering Menifield should back him to win by knockout or in round one, because he’ll come with a fast and furious attack right out of the gate. He may get it, but if St Preux can weather the storm, the veteran should have the edge the rest of the way. It’s too close to call, so we’ll take the value pick on St Preux.

Women’s Bantamweight: Karol Rosa (-130) vs Sijara Eubanks (+110)

This should be a good fight between two women who own black belts in jiu-jitsu, but Karol Rosa (13-3-0) should have the edge here. She’s won four straight fights including each of her first two bouts in the UFC. Sijara Eubanks (5-4-0) has never been stopped and has a 3-2 record in five career UFC fights, but she doesn’t have any noticeable advantage in this matchup. Look for a competitive fight where Rosa does enough for the win in.

Welterweight: Zelim Adamaev (-115) vs Michel Pereira (-105)

Zalim Adamaev (8-2-0) was a perfect 8-0 with all knockout wins as a professional before joining the UFC, where he has lost each of his first two fights. He’ll try to get back on track against Michel Pereira (23-11-0), who has lost each of his last two fights since winning his UFC debut against Danny Roberts back in May 2019. This is essentially a coin-flip between two sluggers who will be looking to end the match with one shot; we like Pereira to be the one to find that shot.

Featherweight: Brian Kelleher (-220) vs Kevin Natividad (+180)

Brian Kelleher (21-11-0) was originally supposed to fight Ricky Simon before one of the latter’s cornermen tested positive for COVID-19, forcing Simon to withdraw. Kevin Natvidad (9-1-0) steps in on short notice and will be making his UFC debut on Saturday after winning each of his last five fights with four straight wins in the Legacy Fighting Alliance. The significant step up in difficulty here could be too much for Natividad to handle, especially on such short notice.

UFC Fight Night 176 preliminary card

Flyweight: Thiago Moises (-160) vs Jalin Turner (+140)

Middleweight: Bartosz Fabinski (-160) vs Andre Muniz (+140)

Women’s Flyweight: Viviane Araujo (-185) vs Montana De La Rosa (+160)

Heavyweight: Alexander Romanov (-130) vs Marcos Rogério de Lima (+110)

Bantamweight: Hunter Azure (-225) vs Cole Smith (+185)