2025 IndyCar Ontario Grand Prix betting preview & free picks

The NTT IndyCar Series makes history this Sunday with the first-ever Ontario Grand Prix — a high-speed street race set against the urban backdrop of downtown Toronto. After a two-week break, drivers return for the 13th round of the 2025 season, and the championship race is heating up with just four events left before the finale at Laguna Seca.

The temporary street circuit winds through Exhibition Place and Lake Shore Boulevard — the same layout that once hosted the Honda Indy Toronto — but with updated runoff areas and resurfaced corners. Expect tight braking zones, little margin for error, and heavy tire degradation, especially late in fuel stints. The 85-lap contest will test precision and pit timing more than outright horsepower.

Will Power comes in as the points leader and winner of the last Toronto street race back in 2023. Álex Palou, second in points, is always a threat on temporary circuits and heads to Canada as a +250 favorite with top online sportsbooks, while Josef Newgarden — riding high off his Iowa doubleheader sweep — starts from pole and brings elite short-track form to the streets.

Look for drivers like Christian Lundgaard, Scott Dixon, and Kyle Kirkwood to factor heavily, especially as rain is forecast for race day. Wet conditions could shuffle strategy and reward bold calls.

IndyCar Ontario GP betting odds

• Alex Palou – +250
• Colton Herta – +350
• Kyle Kirkwood – +375
• Scott Dixon – +600
• Scott McLaughlin – +750
• Christian Lundgaard – +900
• Josef Newgarden – +1000
• Pato O’Ward – +1200
• Will Power – +1400
• Marcus Ericsson – +2800
• David Malukas – +2800
• Felix Rosenqvist – +2800
• Marcus Armstrong – +5000
• Santino Ferrucci – +6000
• Alexander Rossi – +6000
• Devlin DeFrancesco – +10000
• Graham Rahal – +10000
• Rinus VeeKay – +10000
• Conor Daly – +12500
• Christian Rasmussen – +12500
• Nolan Siegel – +12500
• Kyffin Simpson – +12500
• Louis Foster – +15000
• Callum Ilott – +15000
• Robert Shwartzman – +25000
• Jacob Abel – +40000
• Sting Ray Robb – +40000

More odds available at

IndyCar Ontario GP betting predictions

Josef Newgarden to win

Josef Newgarden looked dialed in all weekend and converted that pace into a commanding pole position. He dominated both races at Iowa and enters this week with momentum and confidence. Street circuits haven’t always been his strongest, but when Newgarden starts up front, he typically controls the tempo. At +325 with , he’s the smart play for a wet or dry win.

Scott Dixon top-six finish

Scott Dixon may not always qualify well on street tracks, but his race craft and fuel-saving genius are unmatched. He’s finished top six in five of the last six events and thrives in chaotic, strategy-heavy races — especially if weather hits. Back Dixon for another clinical run into the top six at .

Christian Lundgaard top-10 finish

Christian Lundgaard has quietly become a top-10 machine on road and street circuits. He’s finished top 10 in four of the last five events and was P5 in Toronto last year. With excellent qualifying pace and clean execution, the Dane offers strong value at for another top 10.